TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuxi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Maximus Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maximus Jonesof Hayato Matsuoka, Maximus Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a8c…ba13backed Maximus Jones51c13,500$6,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,615.1722056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka47c7,833$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.6811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hayato Matsuoka22c5,353$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.034,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hayato Matsuoka26c5,176$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.558,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maximus Jones71c2,708$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.944,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Maximus Jones78c2,048$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.514,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hayato Matsuoka48c1,895$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.027,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hayato Matsuoka36c1,757$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.368,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hayato Matsuoka19c1,327$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.376,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hayato Matsuoka51c1,000$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Hayato Matsuoka19c935.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.231,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Maximus Jones71c920.33$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.125,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Hayato Matsuoka49c717.13$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3816258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Hayato Matsuoka49c674$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.261,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Maximus Jones75c661.24$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3188935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Maximus Jones67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19815442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Hayato Matsuoka26c567.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.91,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Maximus Jones49c499.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.362,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Maximus Jones48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6725957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Maximus Jones78c383.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4917359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Hayato Matsuoka22c307.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9225433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Hayato Matsuoka52c306.67$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.471,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…f88ebacked Maximus Jones75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Hayato Matsuoka53c198.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10615850%79 W · 79 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Hayato Matsuoka36c198.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.721,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Maximus Jones48c189.27$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2764350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Hayato Matsuoka54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Maximus Jones46c183.86$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2960856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Hayato Matsuoka53c181.17$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.021,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Hayato Matsuoka54c176.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957968.4%54 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hayato Matsuoka24c157.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hayato Matsuoka53c153.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.717,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Hayato Matsuoka21c144.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Maximus Jones75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3313565.9%89 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Hayato Matsuoka29c127.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.011,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Maximus Jones52c125.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0480341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Hayato Matsuoka40c117.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.479041.1%37 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hayato Matsuoka52c115.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.211,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hayato Matsuoka30c106.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.631,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Maximus Jones77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Maximus Jones47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hayato Matsuoka53c99.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Hayato Matsuoka47c97.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7368857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Hayato Matsuoka28c95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.552,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Hayato Matsuoka20c88.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Maximus Jones48c77.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.233647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Maximus Jones74c75.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.772,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Hayato Matsuoka27c74.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026047.3%123 W · 137 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Hayato Matsuoka54c74.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.481,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Hayato Matsuoka49c74.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7963052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Hayato Matsuoka49c67.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9828348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Maximus Jones80c67.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.587842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Maximus Jones46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Hayato Matsuoka29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Hayato Matsuoka26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516940.2%68 W · 101 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Maximus Jones55c54.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Hayato Matsuoka47c53.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.998447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hayato Matsuoka28c53.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.043,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Hayato Matsuoka29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514415.3%22 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Maximus Jones79c50.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6716856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Hayato Matsuoka53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.525751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Hayato Matsuoka27c49.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3273549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Maximus Jones59c48.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.244,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed Maximus Jones74c48.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.655971.2%42 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Hayato Matsuoka54c44.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Hayato Matsuoka47c41.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6817554.9%96 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Hayato Matsuoka48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6843067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maximus Jones56c40.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.929,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Hayato Matsuoka40c40.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hayato Matsuoka45c39.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.796,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc09…f937backed Maximus Jones46c37.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.065543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Hayato Matsuoka50c34.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2537058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Maximus Jones77c30.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1567178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Hayato Matsuoka49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3111852.5%62 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Maximus Jones70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Maximus Jones79c24.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0527566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…3d88backed Maximus Jones64c23.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Hayato Matsuoka49c20.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0716350.9%83 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Hayato Matsuoka53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bd…57adbacked Maximus Jones51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Hayato Matsuoka53c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.681047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Maximus Jones54c19.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.038066.3%53 W · 27 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Hayato Matsuoka53c18.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0190340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Maximus Jones73c16.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.