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Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Martin Krumich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sandro Koppof Sandro Kopp, Martin Krumich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked Martin Krumich35c19,186$6,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,770.698538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sandro Kopp69c11,749$8,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.6611,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Sandro Kopp80c10,095$8,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.5212657.9%73 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Martin Krumich33c8,517$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.51,44742.8%620 W · 827 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Sandro Kopp70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.865350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x658e…d758backed Martin Krumich26c6,540$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7006241.9%26 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sandro Kopp74c6,112$4,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.161,29556.6%733 W · 562 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sandro Kopp48c5,438$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.414,40752.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L+66.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Sandro Kopp68c5,244$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.884,30545%1,939 W · 2,366 L+20.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Martin Krumich27c5,035$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.139,26736.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L-199.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd5…a179backed Martin Krumich40c4,763$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.56875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Martin Krumich49c3,950$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.533440.4%135 W · 199 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa283…61e5backed Martin Krumich50c3,704$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Sandro Kopp74c3,233$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.662,36952.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L+87.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Martin Krumich21c2,721$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.0362122.2%138 W · 483 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Sandro Kopp76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.48850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Sandro Kopp46c2,534$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.2774840.9%306 W · 442 L+3.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b96…cea8backed Martin Krumich22c2,517$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507428.4%21 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Sandro Kopp78c2,000$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.793,23857.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L+179.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Sandro Kopp70c1,955$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.7445948.8%224 W · 235 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Martin Krumich24c1,800$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.786227.4%17 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Sandro Kopp77c1,781$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.615952.2%83 W · 76 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Krumich26c1,752$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.888,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sandro Kopp75c1,651$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.56,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Martin Krumich54c1,568$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.753,39748.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L-47.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30aa…162abacked Martin Krumich55c1,455$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Martin Krumich42c1,423$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,87248.2%902 W · 970 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Martin Krumich22c1,238$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.245732.4%148 W · 309 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sandro Kopp46c1,220$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.322,58138.7%999 W · 1,582 L+100.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Martin Krumich35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35031637.7%119 W · 197 L-25.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x805f…54a4backed Martin Krumich53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Sandro Kopp46c936.33$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.621,73348.4%839 W · 894 L+40.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…3facbacked Sandro Kopp79c918.48$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.929766%64 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d32…25a8backed Sandro Kopp78c878.62$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9910665.1%69 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad0…7150backed Martin Krumich28c694.76$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Martin Krumich42c618.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8411242.9%48 W · 64 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Martin Krumich50c600.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025947.5%123 W · 136 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sandro Kopp43c599.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.277,15739.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L-9.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Martin Krumich51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040756%228 W · 179 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a97…7a1bbacked Martin Krumich57c531.41$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.91650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Martin Krumich20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052450.4%264 W · 260 L-27.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8829…300cbacked Martin Krumich26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304032.5%13 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Martin Krumich18c499.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909739.2%38 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sandro Kopp77c466.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.791,81546.5%844 W · 971 L-6.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Sandro Kopp78c449.55$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.930338.3%116 W · 187 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b46…e199backed Sandro Kopp80c415.95$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.191758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Martin Krumich50c413.9$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7611448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Sandro Kopp66c402$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.681,86341.1%765 W · 1,098 L-32.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Sandro Kopp75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,75050.2%878 W · 872 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Martin Krumich54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Sandro Kopp66c397.31$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.095752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Martin Krumich26c376.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9832943.8%144 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Sandro Kopp79c370$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.761746.2%285 W · 332 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Sandro Kopp73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.517055.9%95 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sandro Kopp74c347.08$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.139,44444.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L-249.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sandro Kopp65c335.38$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.48,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Martin Krumich21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017519.4%34 W · 141 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Martin Krumich20c310$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.352343.2%226 W · 297 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd755…472fbacked Martin Krumich20c310$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Martin Krumich25c299.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.822838.2%87 W · 141 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Martin Krumich27c298.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6464726.4%171 W · 476 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Sandro Kopp74c289.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3935464.4%228 W · 126 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Martin Krumich52c285.75$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5954741.7%228 W · 319 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Sandro Kopp70c272.73$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.336061.7%37 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0969…cd12backed Sandro Kopp75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Sandro Kopp64c262.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1226140.6%106 W · 155 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e1…6b15backed Martin Krumich39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Martin Krumich27c249.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.51,94744%856 W · 1,091 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff4…5607backed Sandro Kopp76c232.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Martin Krumich24c232.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6612848.4%62 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sandro Kopp74c226.39$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.225,48656.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L+232.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Martin Krumich37c220.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.121,85646.8%868 W · 988 L-55.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Sandro Kopp76c218.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9519045.8%87 W · 103 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Martin Krumich29c216$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.645,03138.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L-20.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Sandro Kopp70c214.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.781,85246.6%863 W · 989 L+19.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Sandro Kopp75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011152.3%58 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Martin Krumich50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069239.5%273 W · 419 L-28.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Sandro Kopp53c199.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9947740.3%192 W · 285 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Martin Krumich55c198$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.963757.3%365 W · 272 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sandro Kopp69c173.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42,88247.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L+39.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Martin Krumich60c168$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049257.9%285 W · 207 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sandro Kopp71c167$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.064,64767.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L+308.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8784…9b1abacked Martin Krumich21c160.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.628532.9%28 W · 57 L-11.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Sandro Kopp80c158.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7220443.6%89 W · 115 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Martin Krumich21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,35646.5%1,096 W · 1,260 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Sandro Kopp65c141.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9534448.8%168 W · 176 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Sandro Kopp74c139.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4699551.6%513 W · 482 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Martin Krumich18c136.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.591,06040.8%433 W · 627 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36dc…531bbacked Martin Krumich26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512245.1%55 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2881…bf97backed Martin Krumich36c131.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.332454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Martin Krumich26c129.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.392834.6%321 W · 607 L-42.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x288b…1fa5backed Sandro Kopp77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Sandro Kopp78c127.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6431655.4%175 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Martin Krumich28c116.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1789237.2%332 W · 560 L-2.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sandro Kopp46c110.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.777,22749.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L+118.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Martin Krumich25c107.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.382,07652.9%1,099 W · 977 L+33.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Sandro Kopp73c106.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8216845.8%77 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Sandro Kopp63c102.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Martin Krumich54c102.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.112653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Martin Krumich55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5547345.9%217 W · 256 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.