TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bogota: Lucas Da Silva vs Matias Soto

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matias Sotoof Lucas Da Silva, Matias Soto
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Lucas Da Silva36c47,568$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00017837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matias Soto66c19,009$12,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,474.228,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matias Soto64c14,020$8,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.7711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Matias Soto43c6,791$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.771329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Matias Soto69c5,613$3,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.924,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Matias Soto74c3,794$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.2231052.9%164 W · 146 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matias Soto65c2,765$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.988,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lucas Da Silva61c1,500$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.929,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lucas Da Silva22c1,426$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.585,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matias Soto52c1,090$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.238,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Matias Soto76c984.29$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.754,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f93…eb20backed Lucas Da Silva49c834.35$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.838439.3%33 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucas Da Silva40c802.27$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.872,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Lucas Da Silva27c734.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Matias Soto73c650$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.471,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Matias Soto66c645.41$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.714,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ee7…18e3backed Matias Soto63c609.29$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.521060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2acd…d0b6backed Matias Soto40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Matias Soto60c496.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1936554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Matias Soto44c435.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.273145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Lucas Da Silva56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425249.2%124 W · 128 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Matias Soto41c392.52$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5931133.8%105 W · 206 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Lucas Da Silva39c386.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.011,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Lucas Da Silva30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Matias Soto45c330.3$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9379857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Lucas Da Silva33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Matias Soto68c294$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081,10145.1%497 W · 604 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lucas Da Silva47c264.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.254,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Matias Soto60c260$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.92,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Lucas Da Silva55c228.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Matias Soto60c174.58$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.021,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lucas Da Silva40c165.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.873,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Matias Soto67c153.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.763240.6%13 W · 19 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-34.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Matias Soto52c148.56$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.364,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Matias Soto50c144.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.582,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lucas Da Silva13c119.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.554,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Matias Soto40c118.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.011,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed Lucas Da Silva38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Lucas Da Silva28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2866830.5%204 W · 464 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Lucas Da Silva59c99.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.852,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Matias Soto40c94.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.435444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…95a2backed Lucas Da Silva59c90.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.457262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Lucas Da Silva25c89.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.072,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Matias Soto44c88.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.781,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Matias Soto73c87.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.211,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lucas Da Silva63c86.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.381,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Lucas Da Silva63c86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.181,21955%670 W · 549 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Lucas Da Silva53c85.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.411,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matias Soto67c79.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.746,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lucas Da Silva59c73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.831,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Lucas Da Silva23c71.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf17a…b0b7backed Matias Soto72c69.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3610677.4%82 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Lucas Da Silva33c66.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Lucas Da Silva57c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4859852.7%315 W · 283 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d6f…4b61backed Matias Soto61c62.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Matias Soto67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77164.8%46 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Matias Soto45c56.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9916755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Lucas Da Silva59c54.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0633048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Matias Soto64c50.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.312,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Matias Soto46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Lucas Da Silva56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Matias Soto43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Lucas Da Silva55c44.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2112061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Matias Soto52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7475…fc7ebacked Lucas Da Silva34c41.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lucas Da Silva40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542c…ed1cbacked Matias Soto65c35.87$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.417068.6%48 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4de…7eccbacked Lucas Da Silva29c35.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.218326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Lucas Da Silva32c33.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8179951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Lucas Da Silva59c33.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7516762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Matias Soto59c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5322046.8%103 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Lucas Da Silva59c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4799056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Lucas Da Silva59c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.291,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Lucas Da Silva35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4333256.6%188 W · 144 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Matias Soto42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Matias Soto65c29.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5435649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Matias Soto47c29.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.439647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lucas Da Silva56c28.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.933,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde43…0bd7backed Matias Soto58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Matias Soto53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2863546.1%293 W · 342 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Matias Soto55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0589263.8%569 W · 323 L+62.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Matias Soto72c17.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8916467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.