CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56498833deb9e4ae7beb185675fe4a486a93cd3ad4f77cfe5236c78d1a43171e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Butterfly, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Butterfly | 60c | 4,961$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.46 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 4,011$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Black Phoenix | 75c | 1,044$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.01 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 1,002$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.57 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Black Phoenix | 38c | 989.28$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.28 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…65ffbacked Butterfly | 20c | 959.03$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Black Phoenix | 71c | 750.47$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 727.68$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Butterfly | 25c | 669.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Butterfly | 40c | 573.35$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 569.7$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Butterfly | 31c | 536.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 523$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.8 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Black Phoenix | 38c | 467.47$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.15 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Butterfly | 30c | 430.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 417.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Black Phoenix | 78c | 376.09$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Butterfly | 63c | 320.63$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Butterfly | 59c | 305.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Butterfly | 44c | 304.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Black Phoenix | 62c | 282.89$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Black Phoenix | 69c | 242.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Butterfly | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Butterfly | 66c | 227.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 52c | 223.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Butterfly | 25c | 220.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 207.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Butterfly | 62c | 194.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Black Phoenix | 63c | 188.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Butterfly | 20c | 181.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Butterfly | 63c | 169.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Butterfly | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Butterfly | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Butterfly | 60c | 165.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed Butterfly | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Butterfly | 62c | 152.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Butterfly | 24c | 151.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Butterfly | 60c | 132.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Butterfly | 65c | 128.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 123.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 113.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Black Phoenix | 65c | 111.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Butterfly | 39c | 101.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 34c | 100.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2865…2005backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Butterfly | 32c | 92.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Butterfly | 60c | 84.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Butterfly | 61c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Butterfly | 30c | 76.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Butterfly | 22c | 75.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Butterfly | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Black Phoenix | 61c | 68.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…dd91backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 66.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Butterfly | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Butterfly | 26c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked Butterfly | 61c | 64.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Butterfly | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 61.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Black Phoenix | 69c | 60.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 59.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butterfly | 31c | 56.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Butterfly | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Butterfly | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Butterfly | 40c | 45.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Butterfly | 62c | 40.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Butterfly | 43c | 39.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 38.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed Black Phoenix | 70c | 36.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Butterfly | 36c | 33.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Butterfly | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 30.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Butterfly | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ed…164bbacked Butterfly | 41c | 29.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Black Phoenix | 77c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Butterfly | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Butterfly | 51c | 24.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Butterfly | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Black Phoenix | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Butterfly | 61c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.