Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x564f7af0024c09510e70c37e04592ed14da64ab892796e40fcdef34221e7320f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof GIANTX, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed GIANTX | 38c | 13,645$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.09 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…7568backed Team Heretics | 63c | 10,509$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Team Heretics | 59c | 5,070$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.04 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed GIANTX | 39c | 4,885$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.31 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 4,559$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.08 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Heretics | 61c | 4,134$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.15 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Team Heretics | 63c | 3,779$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GIANTX | 41c | 3,509$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.73 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked GIANTX | 37c | 2,199$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.47 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX | 39c | 1,822$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics | 62c | 1,470$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.81 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…5a35backed Team Heretics | 62c | 1,443$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed GIANTX | 34c | 1,324$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked GIANTX | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Heretics | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed GIANTX | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed GIANTX | 40c | 769.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Team Heretics | 60c | 739.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Team Heretics | 62c | 734.92$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.31 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed GIANTX | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked GIANTX | 39c | 671.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.73 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked GIANTX | 39c | 644.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked GIANTX | 39c | 573.22$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Team Heretics | 60c | 410.89$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed GIANTX | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed GIANTX | 41c | 255.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked GIANTX | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Heretics | 40c | 175.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed GIANTX | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…49c5backed GIANTX | 51c | 123.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Team Heretics | 62c | 122.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked GIANTX | 58c | 117.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed GIANTX | 55c | 111.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Team Heretics | 62c | 102.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Heretics | 63c | 99.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Team Heretics | 56c | 91.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Heretics | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed GIANTX | 62c | 79.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed GIANTX | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Team Heretics | 62c | 74.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed GIANTX | 38c | 73.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed GIANTX | 37c | 73.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…4489backed GIANTX | 44c | 72.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked GIANTX | 39c | 67.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Heretics | 61c | 56.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Team Heretics | 62c | 53.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Heretics | 49c | 49.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Team Heretics | 62c | 47.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Heretics | 62c | 47.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 46.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked GIANTX | 37c | 44.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Team Heretics | 36c | 39.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed GIANTX | 52c | 39.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Heretics | 42c | 32.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Team Heretics | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked GIANTX | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed Team Heretics | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked GIANTX | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Team Heretics | 62c | 28.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Heretics | 43c | 26.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Team Heretics | 62c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…f180backed Team Heretics | 65c | 18.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?GIANTX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.