Fifa International · resolved market
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x566043b7590620554ca536975ff5be08b9a37691c6439d772d8fb00ded377c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 56c | 7,088$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 4,941$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,924$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 6c | 1,150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 56c | 624.77$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.93 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 366$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 325.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.53 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 25c | 297.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 79c | 250.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 67c | 245.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 15c | 244.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 210.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 79c | 176.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 159.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 14c | 143.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 132.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 12c | 126.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 32c | 116.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 80c | 99.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 16c | 96.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 19c | 91.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 53c | 82.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 52c | 50.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 53c | 41.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 65c | 36.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…56c7backed Over | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -5.3wins | -0.41per pick | 72cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1f…8325backed Over | 59c | 25.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 65c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5this page
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 0.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)Mozambique won
- Spread: Indonesia (-2.5)Mozambique won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.