Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fc738a8e1619a78b8de101644512ee4ce3398d686a0243126ec2359ebfcad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mozambiqueof Indonesia, Mozambique
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mozambique | 44c | 4,138$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.14 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Indonesia | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Mozambique | 59c | 1,867$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.95 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mozambique | 45c | 1,510$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.29 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Indonesia | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indonesia | 55c | 1,335$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indonesia | 55c | 1,314$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.29 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Mozambique | 43c | 1,262$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.06 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Indonesia | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Mozambique | 45c | 801.12$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.61 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Indonesia | 55c | 714.29$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.86 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mozambique | 37c | 649$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indonesia | 47c | 605$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indonesia | 62c | 503.57$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Indonesia | 59c | 451.73$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Indonesia | 49c | 359.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Mozambique | 50c | 347.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Indonesia | 46c | 297.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mozambique | 53c | 282.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed Indonesia | 58c | 255.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Mozambique | 54c | 240.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Indonesia | 52c | 170.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Indonesia | 52c | 147.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Indonesia | 54c | 129.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Indonesia | 43c | 128.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Indonesia | 55c | 126.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mozambique | 51c | 125.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Indonesia | 59c | 124.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Indonesia | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Mozambique | 48c | 101.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Indonesia | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Indonesia | 53c | 84.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Indonesia | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…8ac3backed Mozambique | 62c | 78.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mozambique | 51c | 76.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…3883backed Indonesia | 44c | 68.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Indonesia | 63c | 62.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Indonesia | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Indonesia | 36c | 60.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Indonesia | 50c | 58.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Mozambique | 54c | 58.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mozambique | 27c | 57.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mozambique | 32c | 43.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Mozambique | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Indonesia | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Mozambique | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Indonesia | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed Mozambique | 53c | 31.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…6944backed Indonesia | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Indonesia | 50c | 28.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Mozambique | 55c | 27.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Indonesia | 55c | 26.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Indonesia | 76c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mozambique | 55c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Indonesia | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Mozambique | 48c | 21.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indonesia | 62c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…2521backed Indonesia | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mozambique | 62c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)this page
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 0.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Indonesia (-2.5)Mozambique won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.