Fifa International · resolved market
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa526f464a040b3132330b64fa6656839e68b1ac9beedb272deb0d3da1238c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 19c | 3,498$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.16 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 2,516$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.62 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 36c | 2,473$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 1,574$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.09 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 70c | 1,280$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 25c | 799.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 62c | 714.29$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 707.56$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 608.74$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 51c | 333.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 26c | 307.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 10c | 288.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 276.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 255.65$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.17 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 74c | 240.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 41c | 217.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 196.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb2…97edbacked Over | 63c | 177.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Over | 64c | 156.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 60c | 152.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 13c | 152$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…c329backed Over | 55c | 145$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 141.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 28c | 141$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 120.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Over | 46c | 107.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 74c | 100.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 87 | 73.6%64 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 45c | 95.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 37c | 84.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 52c | 80.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Over | 73c | 77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 27c | 77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Under | 37c | 67.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 63.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 53.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Over | 79c | 49.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 45c | 43.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 42c | 38.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…626ebacked Over | 55c | 37.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 36.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 36.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 35.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 30.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…ad0ebacked Under | 38c | 30.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 74c | 21.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 74c | 21.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 72c | 14.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5this page
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 0.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)Mozambique won
- Spread: Indonesia (-2.5)Mozambique won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.