Fifa International · resolved market
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd131a77f82ee4eca515c8afb7906bf1a213b45d6f198b69cbc4d7a609c8644a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800f…3586backed Under | 61c | 12,037$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 5,386$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.68 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 68c | 4,504$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 3,604$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.94 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 46c | 3,420$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.44 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 2,612$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 39c | 2,000$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.66 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 38c | 1,271$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.85 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 39c | 949.03$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.12 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 37c | 827.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 62c | 694.44$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 617$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 35c | 604.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 587.91$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 32c | 376.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 63c | 351.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.01 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 347.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 29c | 344.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 66c | 310.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Over | 20c | 247$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 53c | 208$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 200.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 193$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 52c | 161.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 60c | 159$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 58c | 144$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 141.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 30c | 127$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Under | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 104.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 60c | 82.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 81.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…d2bebacked Over | 40c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 61c | 47.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 44c | 44.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 51c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 50c | 38.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 50c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 53c | 37.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 57c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…0f43backed Under | 69c | 32.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 50c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…3755backed Under | 70c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Under | 66c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 62c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Under | 75c | 24.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 71c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Under | 73c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5this page
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 0.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)Mozambique won
- Spread: Indonesia (-2.5)Mozambique won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.