NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e3a6116f2f9cffed06176a5af77e5ea28414348418f51bb2e5351391ea4450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Under | 50c | 11,064$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 7,965$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.01 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Under | 49c | 7,006$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.92 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 51c | 6,813$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.63 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 51c | 5,337$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.9 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,144$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Under | 51c | 2,364$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.82 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 50c | 2,153$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.5 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…3009backed Under | 49c | 2,073$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…f596backed Under | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 50c | 1,962$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.74 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 1,498$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.19 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.89 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 910.25$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…1f92backed Over | 53c | 718.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 641$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 592.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 347.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Under | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Under | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -13.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…93a0backed Over | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…74a6backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…8372backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b9d4backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549a…704bbacked Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…f281backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…a60fbacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19a…3808backed Under | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…1524backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Over | 49c | 38.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…cd61backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…a09fbacked Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…0e07backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…7283backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…a94fbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…6020backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…a9ccbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e68…619abacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…d6d8backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…bbc8backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42bc…860cbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…606cbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…f272backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5this page
- 76ers vs. BullsBulls won
- 76ers vs. Bulls: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.