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Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of August 24 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,440 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x403f…94f1backed No31c975.57$302 inLost-$301.8623044.3%102 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes59c523.55$309 inWon+$214.7414539.3%57 W · 88 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes64c420$268 inWon+$152.297140.3%391 W · 580 L-73.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb307…9c25backed Yes72c332.56$239 inWon+$93.125626.8%15 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed No49c311.37$152 inLost-$151.631,32224%317 W · 1,005 L-64.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed No21c293$62 inLost-$61.926261.5%161 W · 101 L+23.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No27c275.54$74 inLost-$74.3236334.4%125 W · 238 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed No7c229.76$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No27c203.08$55 inLost-$55.083417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No26c198.55$51 inLost-$50.6935534.9%124 W · 231 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes61c167$102 inWon+$65.231738.8%123 W · 194 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab97…2efbbacked No25c138$35 inLost-$34.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No36c109.66$40 inLost-$39.561,08335%379 W · 704 L-94.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed No38c94.03$35 inLost-$35.3710348.5%50 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae8…c015backed No16c78.99$13 inLost-$12.620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes66c68.46$45 inWon+$23.2213130.5%40 W · 91 L-19.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf7a5…d2d9backed No47c66.42$31 inLost-$31.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes77c54.75$42 inWon+$12.781650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd886…1746backed Yes74c50$37 inWon+$13.11080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ccf…5f6abacked No28c46.42$13 inLost-$13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460b…9894backed No27c45.23$12 inLost-$12.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f7…ded2backed Yes52c41.21$21 inWon+$19.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…e28ebacked Yes51c40.01$20 inWon+$19.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes63c29.63$19 inWon+$10.9140052.3%209 W · 191 L+20.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No55c25$14 inLost-$13.7529835.9%107 W · 191 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes49c20.82$10 inWon+$10.628253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes58c20$12 inWon+$8.47843.6%34 W · 44 L-13.2wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-31.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb811…7f7dbacked Yes73c20$15 inWon+$5.4650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4f1…7857backed Yes68c20$14 inWon+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes80c17.52$14 inWon+$3.546955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.