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Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of August 24 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,861 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x403f…94f1backed Yes29c714.72$211 inLost-$210.5623044.3%102 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes42c543.95$227 inLost-$227.3630647.4%145 W · 161 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb307…9c25backed No58c450$261 inWon+$1895626.8%15 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab97…2efbbacked No61c415.42$252 inWon+$163.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x731a…04bdbacked No68c200$135 inWon+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No59c199.98$118 inWon+$81.9997140.3%391 W · 580 L-73.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes41c198.57$81 inLost-$81.4135534.9%124 W · 231 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffe…26f4backed No47c165.39$77 inWon+$88.4114539.3%57 W · 88 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes28c123$34 inLost-$34.351,0449.2%96 W · 948 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes29c100$29 inLost-$2932223.3%75 W · 247 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No69c70$48 inWon+$21.64770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No60c57.43$35 inWon+$22.9213130.5%40 W · 91 L-19.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed No61c49.19$30 inWon+$19.1140052.3%209 W · 191 L+20.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes46c41.73$19 inLost-$19.341,08335%379 W · 704 L-94.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x46f7…ded2backed Yes40c40.39$16 inLost-$16.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No77c40.09$31 inWon+$9.1212243.4%53 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No46c39.65$18 inWon+$21.413417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes46c37.11$17 inLost-$17.141650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes33c36.16$12 inLost-$12.031,32224%317 W · 1,005 L-64.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No59c20$12 inWon+$8.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked No65c20$13 inWon+$73452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d1f0backed No59c20$12 inWon+$8.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked No54c20$11 inWon+$9.24959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.