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Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,662 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x403f…94f1backed No36c1,277$462 inLost-$462.0123044.3%102 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes43c528.26$229 inWon+$299.6830647.4%145 W · 161 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed No73c408.72$296 inLost-$296.51,32224%317 W · 1,005 L-64.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No58c399.96$232 inLost-$231.9897140.3%391 W · 580 L-73.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes48c336.67$160 inWon+$176.743417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed No50c286$144 inLost-$143.6426261.5%161 W · 101 L+23.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No57c253.37$144 inLost-$143.6113130.5%40 W · 91 L-19.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb307…9c25backed No35c216.11$75 inLost-$74.745626.8%15 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed No42c161.57$69 inLost-$68.6440052.3%209 W · 191 L+20.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No38c128.75$49 inLost-$48.9436334.4%125 W · 238 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed Yes29c102.55$30 inWon+$72.8115457.1%88 W · 66 L+21.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes48c101.65$49 inWon+$52.951,08335%379 W · 704 L-94.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xab97…2efbbacked No52c94.73$49 inLost-$49.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd886…1746backed Yes56c91.24$51 inWon+$40.271080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec2…0771backed No55c77.36$43 inLost-$42.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b6…e854backed No19c73.68$14 inLost-$142825%7 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b5…d5c6backed Yes29c56.07$16 inWon+$39.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2059…4d1fbacked No53c41.51$22 inLost-$2220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed Yes56c40$22 inWon+$17.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7f…b855backed Yes40c40$16 inWon+$242100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No59c40$24 inLost-$23.84770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No57c33.33$19 inLost-$19.1312243.4%53 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7781…3f50backed Yes46c30.59$14 inWon+$16.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes68c30$20 inWon+$9.610348.5%50 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ccf…5f6abacked No50c30$15 inLost-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes65c29.38$19 inWon+$10.386955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…aa50backed Yes47c28.36$13 inWon+$15.055100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes45c27.74$13 inWon+$15.26541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f9c…9236backed Yes67c25.71$17 inWon+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…e41cbacked No55c25.41$14 inLost-$13.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-65.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b2…0334backed No40c25.15$10 inLost-$10.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No60c20.22$12 inLost-$12.1324325.9%63 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes65c20$13 inWon+$71776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3614…2397backed No61c20$12 inLost-$12.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No66c18.4$12 inLost-$12.1429835.9%107 W · 191 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb811…7f7dbacked No72c18.25$13 inLost-$13.14650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…852abacked Yes64c16.59$11 inWon+$5.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9a…34f6backed No72c13.9$10 inLost-$10.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.