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Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 24 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedc8…3296backed No68c1,303$882 inWon+$421.0126261.5%161 W · 101 L+23.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x403f…94f1backed No61c1,261$773 inWon+$488.2923044.3%102 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes41c981.3$405 inLost-$404.773417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed No65c482$314 inWon+$168.1940052.3%209 W · 191 L+20.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes26c283.85$73 inLost-$73.0930647.4%145 W · 161 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No58c200$116 inWon+$8497140.3%391 W · 580 L-73.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6160…7f02backed No58c165.3$96 inWon+$69.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+173.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes49c110.69$54 inLost-$54.2436334.4%125 W · 238 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No69c100$69 inWon+$3115457.1%88 W · 66 L+21.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed No73c99$72 inWon+$27.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5154…a301backed No71c94$67 inWon+$27.269357%53 W · 40 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+53.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No58c78.95$46 inWon+$33.421650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No77c68.63$53 inWon+$15.7829835.9%107 W · 191 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes24c64$16 inLost-$15.521,0449.2%96 W · 948 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2604…82d7backed No74c62$46 inWon+$15.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No70c60$42 inWon+$17.84770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b5…d5c6backed No70c56.07$39 inWon+$16.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ee…724cbacked Yes39c40.01$16 inLost-$15.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a5…d2d9backed No56c40$23 inWon+$17.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0cd…d931backed No58c33.18$19 inWon+$13.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes45c23.9$11 inLost-$10.676541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d1f0backed No57c20$11 inWon+$8.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9157…626bbacked No55c20$11 inWon+$92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…852abacked No60c20$12 inWon+$8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460b…9894backed No71c18.3$13 inWon+$5.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.