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Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,843 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x403f…94f1backed Yes54c777.2$420 inWon+$356.923044.3%102 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes47c723.72$341 inWon+$382.8330647.4%145 W · 161 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No36c719.87$260 inLost-$260.153417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No77c557.73$428 inLost-$427.5397140.3%391 W · 580 L-73.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb307…9c25backed No56c452.63$253 inLost-$252.975626.8%15 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes8c234.81$20 inWon+$215.0414539.3%57 W · 88 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes49c178.6$88 inWon+$90.7113130.5%40 W · 91 L-19.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5154…a301backed Yes44c120$53 inWon+$67.29357%53 W · 40 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+53.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xab97…2efbbacked No44c100$44 inLost-$441435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f7…ded2backed Yes40c69.96$28 inWon+$41.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed Yes62c60.39$38 inWon+$22.861650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes77c60$46 inWon+$13.835534.9%124 W · 231 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb5…4d50backed Yes52c59.73$31 inWon+$28.432944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed No43c55.47$24 inLost-$23.840052.3%209 W · 191 L+20.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd886…1746backed No40c54.44$22 inLost-$21.711080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked No24c53.33$13 inLost-$12.88253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…84afbacked No44c45.45$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9a…34f6backed No57c43.86$25 inLost-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No30c40.2$12 inLost-$12.0719041.1%78 W · 112 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes56c40$22 inWon+$17.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134e…d718backed No59c40$24 inLost-$23.74770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes46c34.5$16 inWon+$18.571,08335%379 W · 704 L-94.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed Yes58c33.69$19 inWon+$14.26955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…e4bebacked No40c28.79$11 inLost-$11.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed No56c27.4$15 inLost-$15.461,32224%317 W · 1,005 L-64.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0cd…d931backed Yes60c26.67$16 inWon+$10.651866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc901…0c1dbacked No49c25.55$12 inLost-$12.44445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes51c21.92$11 inWon+$10.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes60c20$12 inWon+$83452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…852abacked Yes62c20$12 inWon+$7.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…e41cbacked No72c19.71$14 inLost-$14.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-65.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacf9…40a1backed Yes62c19.21$12 inWon+$7.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460b…9894backed Yes74c17.56$13 inWon+$4.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c5c…189ebacked Yes76c17$13 inWon+$4.082171.4%15 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.