TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Perugia: Liam Broady vs David Jorda Sanchis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liam Broadyof Liam Broady, David Jorda Sanchis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed David Jorda Sanchis25c26,389$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50036145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liam Broady72c10,979$7,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.4511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Liam Broady57c10,301$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.098,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked David Jorda Sanchis42c4,637$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.236,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liam Broady66c3,785$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.466,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked David Jorda Sanchis53c3,226$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.0125453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed David Jorda Sanchis52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Liam Broady58c1,767$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.814,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Liam Broady47c1,612$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed David Jorda Sanchis23c1,471$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Liam Broady48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.331,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Liam Broady70c1,333$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.455,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Liam Broady48c1,044$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.881,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Liam Broady57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4309,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Liam Broady50c938.96$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.961,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Liam Broady76c871.91$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.444,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked David Jorda Sanchis53c805.26$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.792,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Liam Broady80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15033163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed David Jorda Sanchis54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Liam Broady13c666.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.8442125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Liam Broady64c500$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.454,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed David Jorda Sanchis9c492.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed David Jorda Sanchis64c478.52$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3537235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed David Jorda Sanchis52c448.08$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23345256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Liam Broady49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed David Jorda Sanchis34c399.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.162,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Liam Broady53c377.44$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.223,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Liam Broady50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Liam Broady61c297.22$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2258048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked David Jorda Sanchis53c244.95$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2915752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Liam Broady47c229.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.683,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Liam Broady46c217.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.495,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Liam Broady47c208.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.647,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Liam Broady48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3328562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed David Jorda Sanchis57c202.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11567239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed David Jorda Sanchis54c199$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.094,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…ee7ebacked Liam Broady49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.63237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Liam Broady59c164.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9e…ef1fbacked David Jorda Sanchis32c154.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed David Jorda Sanchis28c154.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.738,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Liam Broady71c138.53$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1778840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Liam Broady40c138.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.263,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liam Broady47c133$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.497,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked David Jorda Sanchis55c128.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022245.9%102 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Liam Broady56c123.85$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.853,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked David Jorda Sanchis43c122$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4630436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Liam Broady48c109.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5285637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Liam Broady47c106.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3939254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liam Broady47c104.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.937,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Liam Broady48c102.21$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2121949.3%108 W · 111 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked David Jorda Sanchis48c102.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4947857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Liam Broady31c101.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.592,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Liam Broady19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed David Jorda Sanchis50c92.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.612,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed David Jorda Sanchis49c91.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0620259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x112a…4778backed Liam Broady25c90$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.54528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Liam Broady51c88.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8964755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Liam Broady71c85.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.956,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed David Jorda Sanchis75c83.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9856070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Liam Broady74c79.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6529063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liam Broady55c76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.24,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked David Jorda Sanchis16c70.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6239845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Liam Broady53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Liam Broady80c65.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0723658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked Liam Broady44c64.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.025232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Liam Broady77c64.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.436048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Liam Broady26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.492138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Liam Broady62c59.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed David Jorda Sanchis77c56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0233462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Liam Broady39c54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed David Jorda Sanchis47c53.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Liam Broady49c52.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9711735.9%42 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked David Jorda Sanchis37c52.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Liam Broady32c51.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.919141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed David Jorda Sanchis48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2851339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Liam Broady25c50.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6653736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Liam Broady47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Liam Broady60c49.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7759253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Liam Broady77c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1866834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked David Jorda Sanchis55c47.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.143,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8356…16b7backed David Jorda Sanchis24c45.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.926717.9%12 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liam Broady63c42.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed David Jorda Sanchis59c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Liam Broady46c34.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed David Jorda Sanchis66c32.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.381,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Liam Broady64c31.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.022,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Liam Broady38c30.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Liam Broady43c30.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.312,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked David Jorda Sanchis54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Liam Broady52c27.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.191,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Liam Broady49c27.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9530258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3734…c1c8backed Liam Broady73c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Liam Broady77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9759965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…58c5backed David Jorda Sanchis56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked David Jorda Sanchis51c24.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6344851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed David Jorda Sanchis49c21.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7216354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed David Jorda Sanchis77c20.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7133673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a0…6e74backed Liam Broady78c17.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.897376.7%56 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick76cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Liam Broady63c17.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.383756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.