Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Hanyu Guo vs Sofia Costoulas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a03c6a9d77bc0a0cb5f4e1066ac92f5fd86e00d257aa9d9e6431b6fb2afcfbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanyu Guoof Hanyu Guo, Sofia Costoulas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sofia Costoulas | 8c | 21,701$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hanyu Guo | 53c | 2,849$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.47 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Sofia Costoulas | 28c | 2,632$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.6 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hanyu Guo | 68c | 2,620$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanyu Guo | 57c | 2,575$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Sofia Costoulas | 57c | 2,523$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.27 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sofia Costoulas | 41c | 2,444$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.38 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Sofia Costoulas | 14c | 2,199$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.23 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Sofia Costoulas | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Hanyu Guo | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.13 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hanyu Guo | 39c | 1,467$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.82 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Sofia Costoulas | 60c | 1,159$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.11 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Sofia Costoulas | 1c | 1,122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sofia Costoulas | 35c | 932.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Hanyu Guo | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Sofia Costoulas | 4c | 675.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sofia Costoulas | 28c | 593.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Sofia Costoulas | 19c | 542.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hanyu Guo | 66c | 542.19$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Sofia Costoulas | 59c | 522.14$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Hanyu Guo | 53c | 499.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sofia Costoulas | 40c | 442.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.23 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hanyu Guo | 69c | 439.13$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofia Costoulas | 11c | 414.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Sofia Costoulas | 60c | 397.44$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.46 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Sofia Costoulas | 43c | 360.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Hanyu Guo | 40c | 339.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Sofia Costoulas | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sofia Costoulas | 61c | 322.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sofia Costoulas | 39c | 309.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hanyu Guo | 54c | 305.84$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Sofia Costoulas | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sofia Costoulas | 21c | 295.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sofia Costoulas | 11c | 284.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sofia Costoulas | 37c | 250.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Sofia Costoulas | 44c | 236.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…06e0backed Hanyu Guo | 40c | 214.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sofia Costoulas | 42c | 206.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…8b6ebacked Sofia Costoulas | 61c | 206.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hanyu Guo | 39c | 205.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Sofia Costoulas | 48c | 204.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Sofia Costoulas | 27c | 184.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Hanyu Guo | 61c | 165.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sofia Costoulas | 38c | 164.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hanyu Guo | 64c | 163.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Hanyu Guo | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Sofia Costoulas | 13c | 152.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…c863backed Sofia Costoulas | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hanyu Guo | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Hanyu Guo | 78c | 139.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Hanyu Guo | 76c | 132.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hanyu Guo | 64c | 128.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hanyu Guo | 41c | 117.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Hanyu Guo | 54c | 112.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Hanyu Guo | 42c | 108.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sofia Costoulas | 39c | 103.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Hanyu Guo | 62c | 100.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Sofia Costoulas | 15c | 95.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Hanyu Guo | 63c | 87.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Hanyu Guo | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanyu Guo | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Sofia Costoulas | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Hanyu Guo | 64c | 66.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Hanyu Guo | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Sofia Costoulas | 31c | 60.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hanyu Guo | 61c | 57.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Sofia Costoulas | 61c | 57.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanyu Guo | 58c | 54.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Sofia Costoulas | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sofia Costoulas | 25c | 52.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Hanyu Guo | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Hanyu Guo | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Hanyu Guo | 68c | 34.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sofia Costoulas | 61c | 25.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hanyu Guo | 50c | 25.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Hanyu Guo | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hanyu Guo | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hanyu Guo | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…26f3backed Hanyu Guo | 61c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…6f3ebacked Hanyu Guo | 69c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.