Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Andrea Collarini vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a25c0566ba493a92ed7fa3878dace891b9bbc9a52de73514a0893219ad82ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Collarini, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Collarini | 48c | 19,660$9,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,421.57 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wild | 57c | 17,881$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,762.3 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 43c | 4,415$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.44 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 63c | 4,268$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.14 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Collarini | 18c | 2,983$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Collarini | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…327ebacked Wild | 76c | 1,856$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Collarini | 26c | 1,741$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Collarini | 36c | 1,735$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.56 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Collarini | 36c | 1,572$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wild | 57c | 1,527$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.65 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Collarini | 32c | 1,500$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.93 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Collarini | 17c | 1,107$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 54c | 1,103$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.29 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wild | 53c | 811.95$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Collarini | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 73c | 733.39$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Collarini | 20c | 641.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaf…0bcbbacked Collarini | 38c | 618.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Wild | 62c | 579.93$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wild | 47c | 459.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Wild | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Collarini | 40c | 379.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Collarini | 61c | 329.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Collarini | 11c | 321$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Collarini | 29c | 269.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Collarini | 45c | 254.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.71 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wild | 67c | 208.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Collarini | 45c | 200.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Wild | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Wild | 66c | 135.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 80c | 132.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Collarini | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Wild | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Collarini | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Collarini | 18c | 94.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Collarini | 66c | 87.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…6d83backed Wild | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Collarini | 53c | 74.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Wild | 29c | 70.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Collarini | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…f7cdbacked Collarini | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Collarini | 35c | 49.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Wild | 65c | 39.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Collarini | 34c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Wild | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Collarini | 55c | 29.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Wild | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Collarini | 63c | 24.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wild | 63c | 24.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Wild | 63c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Collarini | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.