Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aacf32d6258a5c5ceaaddac642b1e479c86bd26b83496a350f2526e5ae1cea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 55c | 2,384$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 39c | 1,500$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.19 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 42c | 1,143$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.88 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 47c | 1,135$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.58 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 27c | 908.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.63 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 53c | 570.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 558.18$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 55c | 477.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 43c | 461.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 53c | 402.72$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 13c | 398.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 67c | 388.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.67 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 367.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 40c | 354.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 339.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 49c | 286.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 285$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 70c | 272.27$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 57c | 272$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 47c | 260.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 240.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 228.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.71 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 37c | 225.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed No | 80c | 220.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…5dbbbacked No | 8c | 217.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 56c | 210$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 49c | 205.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 45c | 205$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 40c | 203.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 71c | 192.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 45c | 187.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 187.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 166.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 165.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…8deabacked Yes | 69c | 159.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 58c | 151.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 30c | 150.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 75c | 149.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed No | 58c | 148.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 51c | 141.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…e15abacked No | 48c | 136.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed No | 65c | 135.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 34c | 133$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 44c | 132.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 40c | 116.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 23c | 115.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…40a1backed Yes | 23c | 114.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4e…9321backed Yes | 44c | 112.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed No | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 109.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 61c | 108.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 49c | 105.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 60c | 101.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 36c | 100.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 44c | 98.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…e96abacked No | 48c | 98.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed No | 48c | 98.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 44c | 97.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 47c | 94.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 45c | 92.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 46c | 92.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 47c | 89.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 52c | 87.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 39c | 87.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…b344backed No | 44c | 80.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 53c | 79.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 63c | 79.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed No | 29c | 78.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 52c | 78.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…81a3backed No | 65c | 77.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 46c | 76.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 74.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 55c | 68.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 62c | 68.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 78c | 68.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 51c | 67.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 65.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 40c | 64.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 40c | 64.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 64.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 46c | 63.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 49c | 63.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 28c | 61.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 56c | 55.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 55c | 53.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 55c | 51.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.