Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf6b78cc1cd5453ed1751a0f5f5d66804bbbe396b71649b5d7e12b3de93e705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 74c | 693.43$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.79 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 598$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 31c | 429.96$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 21c | 390.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 324$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 254.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 225.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 20c | 214.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 19c | 188.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 30c | 187.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 166.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 62c | 150.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 27c | 146.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 132.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 62c | 125.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…cfcbbacked No | 69c | 109.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 54c | 107.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 30c | 103.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 92.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 92.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 70c | 89.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…7cffbacked Yes | 41c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 73.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 26c | 73.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 27c | 72.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 28c | 71.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 71.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 23c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 79c | 61.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 57c | 60.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 57.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 20c | 56.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 28c | 56.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 53c | 54.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 40c | 50.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 50.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…c395backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 46.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked No | 75c | 44.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 44.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 46c | 42.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 65c | 42.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 26c | 41.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 37c | 39.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 37.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 44c | 35.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked Yes | 62c | 32.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 61c | 31.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 45c | 29.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 28.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed Yes | 40c | 28.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 79c | 28.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5484…84e8backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 51c | 24.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 58c | 23.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 22.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 22.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 80c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…7034backed No | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 78c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 68c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 65c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…b0d4backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.