TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stetson Hatters vs. North Florida Ospreys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stetson Hattersof Stetson Hatters, North Florida Ospreys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Stetson Hatters47c11,988$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.1574051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…6a41backed Stetson Hatters51c10,800$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f8…7febbacked North Florida Ospreys49c10,800$5,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,29210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Florida Ospreys52c7,009$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.655,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84e…88a3backed Stetson Hatters51c3,700$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x407d…8db6backed North Florida Ospreys49c3,700$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Florida Ospreys52c2,800$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.472,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stetson Hatters72c2,490$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.81,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Florida Ospreys15c2,245$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Florida Ospreys50c1,791$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.533,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Florida Ospreys8c1,322$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.94,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stetson Hatters50c1,156$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked North Florida Ospreys54c937.14$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.396248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked North Florida Ospreys46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36814151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Florida Ospreys24c701.12$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.831,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Florida Ospreys15c631$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.651,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Florida Ospreys10c620.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.421,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Florida Ospreys8c589.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.362,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked North Florida Ospreys51c479$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed North Florida Ospreys31c366.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed North Florida Ospreys14c300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Stetson Hatters52c265.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed North Florida Ospreys54c264.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed North Florida Ospreys55c255.63$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.61,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Stetson Hatters50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe588…7658backed North Florida Ospreys51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Stetson Hatters50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Florida Ospreys18c192.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Stetson Hatters47c180.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4558345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Florida Ospreys8c132.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4857335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed North Florida Ospreys16c117.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Florida Ospreys53c113.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stetson Hatters72c110.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.621,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Stetson Hatters50c100.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.297234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Stetson Hatters47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5323028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed North Florida Ospreys11c95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.731,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Stetson Hatters50c68.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed North Florida Ospreys48c59.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Stetson Hatters64c59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf94e…7b29backed North Florida Ospreys31c58.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed North Florida Ospreys29c58.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.838350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed North Florida Ospreys50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Florida Ospreys53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.264,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stetson Hatters48c49.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed North Florida Ospreys52c40.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.062065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Stetson Hatters45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3336248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Stetson Hatters71c28.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.132,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stetson Hatters62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…073abacked Stetson Hatters70c26.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked North Florida Ospreys48c25.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked North Florida Ospreys53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2531666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1da…7c26backed North Florida Ospreys51c24.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82e…4077backed Stetson Hatters50c24.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2a…65aabacked Stetson Hatters47c23.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed North Florida Ospreys52c22.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.862948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Stetson Hatters72c22.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked North Florida Ospreys52c19.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.199134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcda3…87c0backed North Florida Ospreys53c19.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Stetson Hatters63c16.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0413550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.