Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb96230d5d91c10f06c21aa1fbf5c1a957d27d425d04133a2399135ecf1eaad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof VCU Rams, Duquesne Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked VCU Rams | 73c | 43,336$31,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Duquesne Dukes | 28c | 10,498$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.58 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duquesne Dukes | 26c | 10,026$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duquesne Dukes | 29c | 5,650$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Duquesne Dukes | 8c | 5,048$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 28c | 2,381$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duquesne Dukes | 12c | 1,724$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.63 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 1,249$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 1,207$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Duquesne Dukes | 27c | 1,000$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Duquesne Dukes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Duquesne Dukes | 5c | 884.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 5c | 790.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 709.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VCU Rams | 68c | 697.22$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.12 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 18c | 586$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 77c | 534.48$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Duquesne Dukes | 21c | 477.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 18c | 454$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 6c | 399.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Duquesne Dukes | 26c | 386.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 4c | 280.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 27c | 257.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed VCU Rams | 79c | 219.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed VCU Rams | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked VCU Rams | 79c | 178.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Duquesne Dukes | 29c | 104.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…157bbacked Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 79.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked VCU Rams | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…56d3backed VCU Rams | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed VCU Rams | 75c | 29.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed VCU Rams | 70c | 22.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VCU Rams vs. Duquesne Dukesthis page
- Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-6.5)VCU Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.