TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: WIP Esports vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
WIP Esportsof WIP Esports, Mandatory
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Mandatory40c19,552$7,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,730.6119248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked WIP Esports27c10,385$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,630.678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mandatory74c5,567$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,097.932462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed WIP Esports22c4,659$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.2654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Mandatory54c4,177$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.2430147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked WIP Esports28c3,540$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Mandatory45c3,211$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.4394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked WIP Esports16c3,141$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.5815431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed WIP Esports35c1,948$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.251,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mandatory73c1,800$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.9961035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mandatory39c1,790$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Mandatory76c1,726$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed WIP Esports24c1,631$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.2370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Mandatory79c1,300$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Mandatory77c1,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0012934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mandatory66c1,230$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.5378562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Mandatory2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked WIP Esports22c917.76$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.9929733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Mandatory78c856.34$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.733743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Mandatory2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked WIP Esports34c764.52$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.2945033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed WIP Esports22c671.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.9854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mandatory49c637.83$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0441537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Mandatory79c637.77$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.562020%4 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Mandatory78c568.4$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3515942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed WIP Esports48c537.66$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.025156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Mandatory78c508.2$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.412850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed Mandatory78c493.4$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.851546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mandatory69c491$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1923146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked WIP Esports53c470.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.949133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked WIP Esports24c445.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.035957.6%34 W · 25 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Mandatory74c438.85$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.169052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Mandatory61c429.96$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3720248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b86…dd8fbacked Mandatory75c429.46$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.12828.6%8 W · 20 L-8.7wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-50%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mandatory24c399.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.541,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Mandatory69c316.72$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5234739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed WIP Esports59c311$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.175646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b1…2f14backed WIP Esports23c308.53$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+95%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked WIP Esports46c301.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.374245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed WIP Esports56c300$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1336045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked WIP Esports55c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.56533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mandatory73c290$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.116345.4%74 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed WIP Esports54c286.11$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed WIP Esports65c276.54$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5799846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Mandatory72c273.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6415843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked Mandatory76c258.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.172661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked WIP Esports23c253.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4433753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed WIP Esports23c241.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2633348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed WIP Esports18c231.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9318735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed WIP Esports45c225.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12441835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Mandatory77c194.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.63542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b5…5b6abacked WIP Esports24c185.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Mandatory38c177.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.396648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Mandatory75c174.91$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.559651%49 W · 47 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Mandatory64c170.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.031050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed WIP Esports56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.512243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…84c4backed WIP Esports27c145.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.532564%16 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked WIP Esports20c144.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9610346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mandatory28c143.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.821,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed WIP Esports47c138$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.143345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2548…17a3backed Mandatory71c137.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.28666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Mandatory24c132.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3515754.1%85 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed WIP Esports26c123.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.538158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked WIP Esports65c122.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6330835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Mandatory78c118.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1814959.7%89 W · 60 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed WIP Esports52c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.949438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Mandatory19c108.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6110242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed WIP Esports55c102.52$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7415839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed WIP Esports44c99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5513336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Mandatory80c98.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0413225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked WIP Esports13c96.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8330828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked WIP Esports42c96.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1610333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked WIP Esports62c95.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.441,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed WIP Esports29c93.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed WIP Esports24c91.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3623447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mandatory39c87.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7614533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Mandatory61c87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.265752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe67…f7e7backed Mandatory66c83.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ef…4ec8backed Mandatory78c82.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Mandatory60c82.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.841573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+57.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Mandatory79c80$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.815952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Mandatory23c78.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.229346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked WIP Esports34c77.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1619661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Mandatory38c76.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea86…6fb4backed WIP Esports68c76.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.729255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked WIP Esports30c73.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7815512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed WIP Esports25c73.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8766438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked WIP Esports27c72.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3354439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Mandatory78c72.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2510844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Mandatory44c64.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed WIP Esports22c63.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7913848.6%67 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed WIP Esports33c58.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.976852.9%36 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked WIP Esports51c57.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4311100%11 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Mandatory39c54.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Mandatory77c54.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7717353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Mandatory52c52.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…6821backed Mandatory78c50.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0122…f1aabacked Mandatory79c50.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mandatory79c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2524846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Mandatory61c49.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.896250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.