TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs ECHO - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, ECHO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ECHO14c21,451$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.8463457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ECHO34c4,893$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.793,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked NIP56c4,778$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.7892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP57c3,019$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.487,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked ECHO32c2,916$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.2622641.2%93 W · 133 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed ECHO19c2,901$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1952242.5%222 W · 300 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ECHO18c1,927$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.053,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP65c1,543$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.461,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NIP56c1,315$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.52,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ECHO14c1,311$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.152,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ECHO35c1,267$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.636,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ECHO25c1,133$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.612,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked NIP57c1,117$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.496442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed NIP44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NIP48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked ECHO51c984.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014648.6%71 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked ECHO32c838$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7742037.9%159 W · 261 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ECHO34c822.39$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.612,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed NIP42c813$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.542070%14 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+68.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed ECHO19c790.93$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15113342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked ECHO39c770.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.322449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed NIP66c719.92$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.571,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ECHO25c710$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.984,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ECHO20c691.06$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.293,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed NIP57c641.21$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.723540%14 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP61c551.67$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.615,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed ECHO52c546.92$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.41,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked ECHO32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019643.4%85 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed ECHO36c441$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9925634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed ECHO32c404.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1561834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ECHO18c401$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.315,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ECHO41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16494945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked ECHO53c397.58$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.027537.3%28 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP47c396.34$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0213834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed ECHO62c363.74$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7311354.9%62 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed NIP50c354.25$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8411260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed NIP50c353.19$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9710148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed ECHO16c346.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.312,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ECHO20c339.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.634,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed ECHO35c319.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.954035%14 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed ECHO42c317.38$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.848045%36 W · 44 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked ECHO35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10533839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP58c274.12$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.521,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ECHO46c271.85$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.965,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ECHO22c268.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.872,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xca78…b3a8backed ECHO56c266.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe30a…fcd8backed NIP50c256.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.273638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed NIP55c229$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.251446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed NIP43c220.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.925639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f86…e074backed ECHO33c201.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.32437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed ECHO33c193.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.791,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f49…2285backed NIP52c192.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.984852.1%25 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a9c…bfe2backed ECHO36c190.04$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.753262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed ECHO42c186.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.525446.3%25 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ECHO45c175.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.622,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed ECHO57c175.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NIP68c175.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.434,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed NIP53c163.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6852150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed NIP61c162.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0420161.7%124 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed ECHO35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.529447.3%139 W · 155 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ECHO18c147.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.093,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP67c145.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.953,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed NIP70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3943175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed NIP73c130$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.124558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked NIP51c124.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.138153.1%43 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ECHO30c115.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.752,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed NIP63c105.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.381,12142.5%476 W · 645 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed ECHO47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ECHO40c101.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.212,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NIP73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.573553.5%393 W · 342 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed NIP58c99.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8941853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed NIP58c98.77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4819453.1%103 W · 91 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked NIP67c94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.029742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed ECHO57c90.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed NIP69c90.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0222552.9%119 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ECHO28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed ECHO64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049866.9%333 W · 165 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed ECHO35c73.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked ECHO30c72.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.728637.4%107 W · 179 L-19.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed NIP58c72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3520742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed NIP45c67.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1359354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed NIP56c66.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP58c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.344747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ECHO38c62.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed NIP70c61.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed NIP66c61.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.759044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed ECHO33c59.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.94141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed ECHO34c58.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012854.7%70 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…2d5bbacked ECHO33c56.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-73.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed NIP37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0542371.9%304 W · 119 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed NIP47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1943174%319 W · 112 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed NIP57c52.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8136856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed ECHO57c52.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7810657.5%61 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed ECHO51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed ECHO55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed NIP58c48.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6224152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked NIP70c45.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7139847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed ECHO35c44.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.582,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed ECHO46c42.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.388760.9%53 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed NIP55c37.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.988658.1%50 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.