Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed07f68b47196845e82820a0da541cc51dc27aa9df94b96896cdcacb92a08ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 46c | 1,066$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.47 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 35c | 614.74$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 294$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 260$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 242.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 74c | 239.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 225$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 9c | 209.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 187.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 167.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 158.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 77c | 146$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 77c | 133.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 127.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 11c | 117.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 112.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 56c | 109.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 108.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 17c | 101.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 50c | 93.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 53c | 91.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 13c | 88.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 60c | 86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…1fbfbacked No | 52c | 78.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 66.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 54c | 64.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 62.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 60.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…9b1bbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7eb7backed Yes | 51c | 50.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…47abbacked Yes | 38c | 50.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 55c | 46.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…1acdbacked No | 64c | 45.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…eec9backed Yes | 65c | 42.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…16c5backed No | 48c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 32c | 38.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…6ab8backed Yes | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 54c | 35.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 59c | 33.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…a3fabacked No | 65c | 32.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 68c | 31.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 30.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 45c | 28.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 55c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 59c | 26.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…03bebacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2776backed No | 68c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 51c | 20.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…444dbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.