TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio Bobcats vs. Old Dominion Monarchs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Old Dominion Monarchsof Ohio Bobcats, Old Dominion Monarchs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs40c1,754$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9152,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Old Dominion Monarchs74c1,121$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.31,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Old Dominion Monarchs75c1,000$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.652,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats61c876.92$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.9212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs72c805.5$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.011,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ohio Bobcats62c777.33$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.711,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Ohio Bobcats48c584.95$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.531,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Ohio Bobcats61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30535243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Old Dominion Monarchs48c403.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Ohio Bobcats39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ohio Bobcats61c360.44$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.785,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ohio Bobcats62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9516053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs40c281.45$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Old Dominion Monarchs38c270.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.611,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Old Dominion Monarchs55c262$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4939742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Old Dominion Monarchs54c214.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.641,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Ohio Bobcats30c201.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.771,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ohio Bobcats31c195.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.751,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Old Dominion Monarchs60c166.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.83174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Ohio Bobcats60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio Bobcats31c165$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.734,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Ohio Bobcats63c158.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio Bobcats26c129.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.982,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.956756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Old Dominion Monarchs50c111$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.632,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Ohio Bobcats59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio Bobcats59c101.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.264,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ohio Bobcats59c87.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6715851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Ohio Bobcats50c84.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ohio Bobcats28c75.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Ohio Bobcats60c75.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.351,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs79c74.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Ohio Bobcats24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Old Dominion Monarchs40c59.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Ohio Bobcats52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Old Dominion Monarchs42c55.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ohio Bobcats59c45.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0689146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ohio Bobcats54c38.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.691,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs75c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked Ohio Bobcats43c33.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.397254.2%39 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Ohio Bobcats63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio Bobcats54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Ohio Bobcats56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.686154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Old Dominion Monarchs40c27.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Ohio Bobcats62c25.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Ohio Bobcats51c24.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ohio Bobcats60c22.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.592,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Ohio Bobcats63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.