South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f53116f2877bf26d7788f60fb4b995a13a920f1420bcf11dbe0f2584a8a54a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 5,300$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 1,539$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.7 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 4c | 1,262$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 41c | 1,214$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.02 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.07 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,029$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 834.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed No | 17c | 776.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 46c | 659$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.31 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 524.71$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 34c | 444.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 36c | 404.25$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 23c | 307.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…691ebacked Yes | 43c | 225.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 5c | 224.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 16c | 212.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.11 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 38c | 206.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 15c | 144.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 10c | 126.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…9955backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 49c | 117.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 11c | 106$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…3b1bbacked Yes | 77c | 99.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…61b5backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 57c | 73.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…b728backed Yes | 73c | 63.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 62.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 54c | 55.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed No | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…2fe5backed Yes | 72c | 45.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 78c | 45.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Yes | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 37.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 55c | 36.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 68c | 30.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.