Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6046fef0a5fa773c8183bb5e16e10679b4db24acba63141915acd85bb7d1b3ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 1,489$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.51 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 56c | 999.92$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.96 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 723.53$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 43c | 600$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 51c | 598.78$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.26 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 538.39$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 61c | 492.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 44c | 473$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 43c | 406.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 56c | 320.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.43 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 237.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 192.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 34c | 167.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 70c | 131.71$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 90.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 41c | 65.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…975bbacked Under | 43c | 53.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 45c | 51.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 43c | 48.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…4c34backed Over | 44c | 45.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 45c | 44.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 41.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Over | 63c | 36.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 526 | 50.8%267 W · 259 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 57c | 34.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 55c | 30.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 80c | 27.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 43c | 26.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 25.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…a3b8backed Over | 44c | 24.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 61c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?KT Rolster won
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.