MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c68a60e6a6bd90fce8831257a68edfc541456991260970534b6669be7a38d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 37c | 15,411$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,755.45 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 12,891$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 54c | 8,559$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.34 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 8,079$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.47 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 6,589$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.06 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 4,478$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.25 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 2,346$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 1,384$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.73 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 45c | 1,338$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,082$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.47 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 1,056$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.35 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 55c | 1,007$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 941$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.22 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 861$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.83 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 36c | 849.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.95 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 699.27$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.64 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 590$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.1 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 507.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.58 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 399.94$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 252$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 36c | 218$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 190.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.96 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 64c | 169$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 52c | 163.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 156.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 152.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Under | 32c | 145.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 48c | 132.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 54c | 117.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 50c | 112.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 87.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 41c | 82.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 65.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Under | 44c | 60.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 48c | 50.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 48.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 51c | 46.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 43.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 54c | 38.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 36.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 47c | 34.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 51c | 34.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 59c | 29.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Under | 36c | 29.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 64c | 27.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 49c | 26.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…344abacked Over | 44c | 25.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…c7e6backed Over | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 65c | 18.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas RangersDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.