Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c11ab25d39e579b3691863603064f7c4b0bfd1ed6f4761566157a24bb62047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 675.07$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…8a18backed Yes | 29c | 500.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…5b95backed Yes | 3c | 497.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 389.84$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 366.21$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 64c | 363.38$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 331.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…ddb5backed No | 67c | 322.89$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 218 | 65.6%143 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Yes | 31c | 200.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 230 | 30.9%71 W · 159 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 65c | 200.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 35c | 196.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 35c | 191.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 18c | 188.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 32c | 164.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 14c | 160.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 74c | 143.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 132.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 27c | 132.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd0…3df2backed No | 74c | 128.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…43aabacked No | 78c | 128.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 125.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 69c | 119.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 118.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…cccfbacked Yes | 36c | 111.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…3a20backed Yes | 31c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 109.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 35c | 104.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 104.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 78c | 103$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…2aa0backed Yes | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…0a3ebacked Yes | 36c | 98.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 34c | 95.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 37c | 93.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 91.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…6171backed Yes | 33c | 89.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…55a0backed Yes | 29c | 86.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…bf8fbacked No | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 68c | 73.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…2bfcbacked No | 73c | 69.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 66c | 66.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 65.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 64.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…c9a7backed Yes | 25c | 53.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 410 | 33.7%138 W · 272 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 33c | 51.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 66c | 51.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…5b7bbacked Yes | 38c | 50.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…5bbbbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 65c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed Yes | 37c | 43.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a68…13f0backed No | 69c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 41.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked No | 66c | 39.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 38.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 72c | 38.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 37.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 66c | 37.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 65c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 69c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 63c | 24.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d575backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 14.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.