MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63a480b1f6d91ec7a700d546d71c153ab7014a7252e850473a87040d51f7bde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Mariners, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners | 58c | 120,063$69,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,374.5 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Athletics | 48c | 44,990$21,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,291.66 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 47c | 31,414$14,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,750.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 41c | 30,335$12,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,884.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…ab5fbacked Mariners | 58c | 23,740$13,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,731.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Mariners | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 46c | 11,713$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,345.45 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Athletics | 42c | 10,506$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.08 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Athletics | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Athletics | 47c | 9,007$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.37 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 46c | 6,055$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Athletics | 50c | 4,708$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 51c | 4,066$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.48 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 49c | 3,260$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.95 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners | 51c | 2,862$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.69 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Athletics | 52c | 2,577$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.64 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 35c | 2,456$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.4 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Athletics | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 54c | 1,918$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.12 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 57c | 1,828$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.47 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Athletics | 40c | 1,811$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +206.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Athletics | 52c | 1,512$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 46c | 1,294$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Athletics | 59c | 1,259$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Athletics | 61c | 1,227$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.42 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Athletics | 79c | 990$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…bf18backed Mariners | 39c | 903.13$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 51c | 900$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners | 51c | 892.86$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.36 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 58c | 810.31$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.33 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Athletics | 54c | 674.4$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.67 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 49c | 614.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Athletics | 66c | 542.86$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mariners | 52c | 512.86$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.69 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 52c | 458$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 46c | 440$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 30c | 369.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Mariners | 74c | 317.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Athletics | 47c | 292.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 49c | 275.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mariners | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Athletics | 53c | 200.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 50c | 200.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Mariners | 53c | 199.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 15c | 199.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mariners | 50c | 198.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Mariners | 37c | 192.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 53c | 189.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Athletics | 49c | 154.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Athletics | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 53c | 141.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 43c | 100.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Athletics | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 53c | 75.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Athletics | 77c | 74.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mariners | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Athletics | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 51c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Mariners | 54c | 47.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Mariners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Mariners | 52c | 42.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Athletics | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Athletics | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Athletics | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…1630backed Mariners | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aad…a94dbacked Athletics | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Athletics | 53c | 29.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Athletics | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 58c | 22.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Athletics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Athletics | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.