Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ec6741fcf8638d2d3483859372cca4d64b55742b4d5938140a472b20610e77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 32c | 9,564$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 68c | 4,085$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.49 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 2,489$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.35 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 68c | 1,566$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 67c | 672.9$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…3050backed Over | 70c | 643.39$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 67c | 399.66$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 68c | 349.18$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 336.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 61c | 121.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1,103 | 45.3%500 W · 603 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Under | 39c | 109.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 96.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 68c | 79.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 68c | 78.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 34c | 74.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 68c | 37.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…888bbacked Under | 40c | 27.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 68c | 24.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Over | 73c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: FC Nordsjælland O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC St. Gallen vs. FC Nordsjælland: Team to AdvanceFC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.