South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65538cdae3d76018bf7062436eafb959165875375e67d53aa61a8bed4a51c336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 38c | 9,073$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 26c | 3,846$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.25 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 3,386$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.51 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 2,971$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.69 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,656$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 45c | 2,553$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.18 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 2,179$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.73 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 42c | 2,012$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.23 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 1,932$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.15 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 1,854$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.25 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 29c | 1,524$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 57c | 1,243$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.86 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 25c | 1,025$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 993.91$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.54 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 25c | 961.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.38 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 817.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 40c | 800.65$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.83 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 25c | 799.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 712.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 29c | 690.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 25c | 616$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 361.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 58c | 295$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 25c | 288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 61c | 243.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 212.27$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 39c | 198.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 35c | 183.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 169.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 40c | 153$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 62c | 149.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 12c | 141.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 26c | 102.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 29c | 102.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Yes | 38c | 92.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 39c | 86.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 57c | 68.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 64c | 64.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 33c | 63.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 55.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 54.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes | 27c | 49.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 41c | 42.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…bb08backed Yes | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 61c | 29.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 25.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 64c | 19.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 60c | 17.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 76c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.