Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658ebe57a46fb9ba7239edb1406aaadbb5317ee0a234709464a3bfe5ea2e2e07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 2,499$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.56 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 1,560$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.37 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 62c | 1,232$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…718dbacked No | 68c | 1,139$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…a284backed Yes | 35c | 1,057$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 64c | 1,021$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.6 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 598.77$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…e006backed No | 65c | 566.79$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 40c | 389.02$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 40c | 365.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 54c | 340$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 328.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 35c | 272.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 228.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 44c | 195.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked No | 40c | 174.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…99bbbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 65c | 149.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 64c | 135$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Yes | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 39c | 99.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 36c | 96.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…5d36backed No | 65c | 87.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 20c | 83.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 73.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 49.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes | 36c | 35.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 33.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 36c | 28.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…378abacked No | 70c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 64c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 26.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a65cbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.