TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pirates vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Pirates, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc91a…c6b8backed Mets27c5,124$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.5210746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates79c5,118$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.8686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates29c4,893$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.371,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets71c3,601$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.661,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates42c3,453$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.612,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets49c2,077$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.099,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates54c1,809$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.3511357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates29c1,627$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.431,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Mets72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e85…4d99backed Pirates28c1,477$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Mets71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Mets74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Pirates28c1,072$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.033234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets71c819.35$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0333349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pirates29c771$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.415,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mets39c681$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets72c500$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Mets34c469.55$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.482488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4142…1853backed Mets71c336.93$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.962138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates61c304.92$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates28c292.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.672,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mets70c150.91$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6327751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates28c145.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mets47c138.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0543250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets44c124.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Pirates28c121$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.124546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Mets70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates29c108$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates40c100.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4663942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338e…42cbbacked Pirates31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5245backed Pirates29c95.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Mets73c89.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb396…313cbacked Mets70c83.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3af0…c63bbacked Pirates31c82.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.929157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets73c75.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Pirates28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5547…ca51backed Mets73c71.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mets71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.741649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates62c62.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets73c62.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.42,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b7…66d4backed Pirates30c53.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e6…fcd9backed Pirates28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d5…37e6backed Mets74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates26c48.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6d…5c60backed Pirates28c42.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa72b…e180backed Pirates28c42.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7664…7867backed Mets71c41.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0650…a2eebacked Pirates29c41.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec41…2bb7backed Pirates29c41.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd49…abb7backed Pirates30c41.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…b62abacked Mets71c38.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Pirates31c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.841,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd8…affcbacked Mets71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates30c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Mets73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed Mets73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252060%12 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Mets70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2166751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Mets71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.320954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Mets71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.336453%193 W · 171 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8795…9f2bbacked Mets71c29.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets68c24.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ca…612fbacked Mets71c24.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683f…6473backed Mets73c24.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pirates60c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.536,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba23…d43dbacked Mets73c22.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe03…b864backed Mets72c22.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd52…577bbacked Mets71c22.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c0…abdfbacked Mets73c22.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…d2e3backed Mets73c22.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.151758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1650…cad9backed Mets71c21.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7620…b065backed Mets71c21.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b56…b224backed Mets71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1c2…f57abacked Mets73c20.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b9a…a73dbacked Mets73c20.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12475%18 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+43.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2079…7c89backed Mets73c19.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c71…4148backed Mets72c19.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ffe…f8f5backed Mets73c18.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e4…7632backed Mets73c18.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2be…f489backed Mets71c17.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.