Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671a99573ed4281967ebd5fc081eff40dd587d0a7893df74f71e511f313090f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Fokina, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Fokina | 34c | 5,507$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.31 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Medvedev | 66c | 3,053$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.03 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Fokina | 17c | 2,880$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fokina | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.91 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fokina | 11c | 1,630$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Fokina | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.82 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Medvedev | 68c | 1,057$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Medvedev | 66c | 1,015$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Fokina | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fokina | 13c | 935.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Medvedev | 67c | 890.75$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.95 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fokina | 24c | 581.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed Fokina | 19c | 424.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Fokina | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fokina | 35c | 305.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Fokina | 13c | 271.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Fokina | 27c | 264.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Fokina | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fokina | 11c | 248.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Medvedev | 67c | 247.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Fokina | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Medvedev | 63c | 193.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Medvedev | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fokina | 37c | 150.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Fokina | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Medvedev | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Fokina | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Fokina | 36c | 139.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Medvedev | 79c | 132.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Medvedev | 62c | 121.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Fokina | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Medvedev | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Fokina | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Medvedev | 66c | 95.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Fokina | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fokina | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Medvedev | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fokina | 25c | 59.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Fokina | 37c | 57.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fokina | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Medvedev | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…c46fbacked Medvedev | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Medvedev | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fokina | 37c | 41.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Medvedev | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Medvedev | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Medvedev | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Fokina | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…327bbacked Fokina | 37c | 28.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Medvedev | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Medvedev | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.