Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Jule Niemeier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b806ad4a22a9a9e14a1bf790cc3e369e5145054fb60b4cf064d24bfcaec8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Lourdes Carleof Maria Lourdes Carle, Jule Niemeier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 80c | 14,339$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jule Niemeier | 24c | 11,599$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.47 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Jule Niemeier | 6c | 5,014$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.24 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 79c | 1,925$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jule Niemeier | 34c | 1,585$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.23 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jule Niemeier | 54c | 1,262$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.56 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 69c | 1,250$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Jule Niemeier | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.82 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Jule Niemeier | 16c | 1,227$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 68c | 1,182$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Jule Niemeier | 12c | 938.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Jule Niemeier | 35c | 772.05$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Jule Niemeier | 14c | 737.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 55c | 625.84$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…0b32backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 606.63$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jule Niemeier | 34c | 605.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jule Niemeier | 22c | 593.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Jule Niemeier | 24c | 510$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Jule Niemeier | 39c | 489$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jule Niemeier | 32c | 440.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 384.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 71c | 310$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jule Niemeier | 4c | 290$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Jule Niemeier | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 78c | 247.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 67c | 242.64$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601c…7c15backed Jule Niemeier | 5c | 221.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Jule Niemeier | 23c | 218.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 70c | 215.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jule Niemeier | 13c | 205.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Jule Niemeier | 48c | 193.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 75c | 146$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jule Niemeier | 35c | 126.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Jule Niemeier | 28c | 102.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 45c | 85.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jule Niemeier | 34c | 81.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 70c | 76.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 76c | 61.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…5112backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Jule Niemeier | 35c | 52.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Jule Niemeier | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…141abacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 68c | 45.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 75cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 67c | 44.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 43.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Jule Niemeier | 35c | 42.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…422ebacked Jule Niemeier | 39c | 36.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Jule Niemeier | 42c | 31.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 76c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Jule Niemeier | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Jule Niemeier | 56c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…68e1backed Jule Niemeier | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…9f01backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 66c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 73c | 14.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 80c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Jule Niemeierthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Carle vs NiemeierCarle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.