Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a285d119186494852d324744cfb64121a81d0bdbe25461a6bcd3c5b2edcb605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,763 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 21c | 849.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 77c | 674.05$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 521.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 79c | 383.37$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 33c | 345.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 305.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 75c | 240.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 228.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 68c | 212.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 299 | 22.7%68 W · 231 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 16c | 189.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 21c | 187.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e8b7backed Yes | 23c | 185.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd9…adc9backed Yes | 17c | 172.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 157.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…1b56backed Yes | 21c | 150.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +268.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 8c | 142.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 75c | 139.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 22c | 136.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 130.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 11c | 129.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…e23abacked Yes | 18c | 118.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked Yes | 30c | 110.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 23c | 100.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…d921backed Yes | 18c | 95.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 72c | 95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 94.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…636fbacked No | 79c | 93.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…05babacked Yes | 34c | 91.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…7810backed Yes | 16c | 88.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 23c | 85.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…3067backed Yes | 20c | 83.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Yes | 23c | 83.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 80.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 79c | 78.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 26c | 78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Yes | 27c | 74.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8d…7a59backed Yes | 14c | 73.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…0397backed Yes | 19c | 71.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 22c | 69.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…9352backed Yes | 23c | 65.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 20c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…e592backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Yes | 17c | 59.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed No | 72c | 58.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…9649backed Yes | 28c | 54.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…7452backed Yes | 20c | 53.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…c872backed Yes | 22c | 53.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…54debacked Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 28c | 46.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…c602backed Yes | 34c | 45.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 24c | 44.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 43.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked No | 77c | 43.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…fb37backed No | 73c | 42.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed No | 76c | 35.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked No | 71c | 35.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…8fe4backed No | 77c | 31.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…2580backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 80c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 75c | 21.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…2991backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…e32bbacked No | 79c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed No | 73c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed No | 78c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…70edbacked No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…2d36backed No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 71c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…a837backed No | 70c | 14.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 76c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed No | 80c | 13.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.