Uruguay to score first vs. Cabo Verde?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a9ff0d5f586e70e940a7158fcca086f46214b7ebfd08f03b7544c03f522b7c1

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5f0d…e609backed Yes	0c	14,560$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	12,763$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.28	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	72c	10,079$7,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,221.83	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	72c	2,969$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.98	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	28c	2,574$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.67	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed No	29c	2,190$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,554.66	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Yes	73c	2,058$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	191	58.1%111 W · 80 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No	28c	2,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.99	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	27c	2,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,449.97	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No	31c	1,690$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.23	122	41%50 W · 72 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa426…7b84backed Yes	73c	1,370$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	64	60.9%39 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	28c	1,149$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.19	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No	28c	1,135$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.32	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	28c	744.51$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.52	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed No	28c	505.98$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.31	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	70c	457.05$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.94	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Yes	68c	436.66$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.93	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No	30c	422.49$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.74	243	44.9%109 W · 134 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	27c	420.27$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.8	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No	29c	418.92$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.43	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No	28c	405$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.6	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No	29c	402$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.42	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	28c	400.69$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.5	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No	29c	301.03$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.73	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf2…326abacked Yes	72c	277.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	117	49.6%58 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Yes	73c	273.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	116	65.5%76 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	23c	254.08$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.13	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	27c	230.71$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.42	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Yes	72c	208.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	72c	200$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed No	31c	155$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.95	152	29.6%45 W · 107 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No	30c	154.98$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.49	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb6…36d5backed No	31c	153$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.57	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No	29c	150.19$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.63	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No	29c	150$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Yes	69c	149.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.79	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed No	29c	149.14$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.89	232	36.6%85 W · 147 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1729…75e9backed No	28c	140$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Yes	73c	137.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed No	29c	130.43$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.61	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	28c	130$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.6	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	28c	121.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.17	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	129	34.1%44 W · 85 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	27c	79.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.4	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No	28c	75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	73c	68.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ca…cb5bbacked Yes	73c	68.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…5651backed Yes	72c	63.89$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc57…89cebacked No	29c	60.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.3	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	28c	59.66$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.96	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No	28c	56.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.68	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	29c	54.34$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb47…96c1backed Yes	73c	47.95$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	32c	46.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.71	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x851f…642fbacked Yes	72c	45.83$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	-10.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	70c	45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1bd…b053backed No	29c	41.41$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Yes	73c	41.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	72cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes	73c	41.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	48	66.7%32 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes	73c	41.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	28c	40.01$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	29c	40$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.4	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes	69c	40$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No	27c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d77…cd4fbacked Yes	80c	37.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	+4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…a92bbacked Yes	72c	30.56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a9…572fbacked Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	96	49%47 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdf…d326backed Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005e…129cbacked Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	280	55%154 W · 126 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes	73c	27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+10.2wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes	73c	27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	67	65.7%44 W · 23 L	+12.4wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes	73c	27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+8.1wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcccb…75d2backed Yes	72c	20.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Yes	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af0…9a89backed Yes	77c	19.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed Yes	71c	14.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	184	73.4%135 W · 49 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	71cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Uruguay to score first vs. Cabo Verde?this page
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Uruguay?Yes won
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Neither team to score first?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Uruguay to score first vs. Cabo Verde?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event