TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bulgaria vs. Montenegro end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No69c5,683$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.061,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c5,019$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.312,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9724144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…8366backed Yes22c2,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c2,175$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes31c2,008$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No78c1,536$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.1716833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c1,532$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes34c1,434$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes35c1,390$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes36c1,317$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c1,003$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.451,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c999.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.983554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes31c998$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3816425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…4b19backed Yes56c747.89$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes31c740.9$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.688345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No67c648.37$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.965669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes21c622.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes31c578.81$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c554.93$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.783,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes39c473.14$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes30c465.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1710539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No77c463.63$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4451429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes24c432.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9718943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12417235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes14c331.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.536435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes31c301.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No70c292.86$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8610863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No57c279.69$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2725454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Yes24c273.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.828445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No70c262.17$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c250.53$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.63,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No58c243.06$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0942048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes31c209.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.081,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes31c192.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7711135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1a…4d5bbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c153.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3374034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No70c143.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.164257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes17c141.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c136$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c134.01$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes20c124.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.563429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed No57c122.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.724847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x209f…2337backed Yes31c103.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No70c101.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.435743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes35c98.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No72c91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No67c86.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7144435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes27c86.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes30c86.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa79d…6b36backed Yes26c84.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.274146.3%19 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No48c81.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1830117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes33c75.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes37c72.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No73c65.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8123345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c64.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2745947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes22c63.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146547.7%31 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No76c62.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…633bbacked Yes43c60.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c60.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1345039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes31c58.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c57.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7127745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No69c53.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7418435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No80c46.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Yes26c46.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.093246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No76c46.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1339039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No48c45.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed No69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No70c44.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No70c42.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes29c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked Yes30c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47844.9%35 W · 43 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No47c37.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9066…7145backed Yes27c37.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed No70c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155939%23 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No76c28.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.981,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…e9cfbacked No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5737057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No64c28.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3127538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9939…f998backed Yes47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.