Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Micol Salvadori vs Alexandra Biot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c1057b154b46e853829fea991b39cc1e657446d060464973b6b8e2fa3115cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandra Biotof Micol Salvadori, Alexandra Biot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Micol Salvadori | 48c | 6,870$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.1 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Alexandra Biot | 65c | 4,017$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.37 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa107…e6a1backed Micol Salvadori | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Alexandra Biot | 68c | 2,955$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…5f4ebacked Alexandra Biot | 60c | 2,749$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Micol Salvadori | 32c | 1,673$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandra Biot | 60c | 1,309$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.42 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Micol Salvadori | 58c | 1,200$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Alexandra Biot | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Alexandra Biot | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Alexandra Biot | 39c | 611$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.71 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Alexandra Biot | 52c | 469.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.07 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alexandra Biot | 38c | 400.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Micol Salvadori | 54c | 376.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Alexandra Biot | 50c | 255.1$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…2fd1backed Alexandra Biot | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexandra Biot | 65c | 177.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Alexandra Biot | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Micol Salvadori | 54c | 156.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Micol Salvadori | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Alexandra Biot | 51c | 153.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…ef78backed Alexandra Biot | 55c | 147.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Micol Salvadori | 37c | 141$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Micol Salvadori | 73c | 137.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 53.5%160 W · 139 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Alexandra Biot | 68c | 133.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 388 | 54.1%210 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Alexandra Biot | 63c | 133.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Alexandra Biot | 64c | 127.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexandra Biot | 69c | 118$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Alexandra Biot | 73c | 109.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 891 | 64.3%573 W · 318 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Alexandra Biot | 58c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Micol Salvadori | 69c | 88.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Micol Salvadori | 32c | 87.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexandra Biot | 66c | 85.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308c…74e8backed Micol Salvadori | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alexandra Biot | 52c | 77.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Micol Salvadori | 50c | 70.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Alexandra Biot | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Alexandra Biot | 67c | 67.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Alexandra Biot | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8bd3backed Micol Salvadori | 36c | 60.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Micol Salvadori | 52c | 60.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alexandra Biot | 43c | 57.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alexandra Biot | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Micol Salvadori | 52c | 56.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b25…f08bbacked Micol Salvadori | 36c | 54.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alexandra Biot | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Alexandra Biot | 63c | 45.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Micol Salvadori | 26c | 45.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 587 | 57.8%339 W · 248 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alexandra Biot | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…7e53backed Micol Salvadori | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Micol Salvadori | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Micol Salvadori | 35c | 36.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alexandra Biot | 52c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Alexandra Biot | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Micol Salvadori | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 605 | 62.8%380 W · 225 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alexandra Biot | 72c | 29.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 896 | 59.6%534 W · 362 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandra Biot | 58c | 29.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…de68backed Alexandra Biot | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Alexandra Biot | 69c | 28.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Micol Salvadori | 37c | 27.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 156 | 32.1%50 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Micol Salvadori | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Alexandra Biot | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…7e71backed Alexandra Biot | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Micol Salvadori | 73c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF W35 Verbier Women: Micol Salvadori vs Alexandra Biotthis page
- ITF W35 Verbier Women, Qualifying: Completed Match: Micol Salvadori vs Alexandra BiotYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.