TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Amit Valesof Alex Martinez, Amit Vales
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Alex Martinez12c70,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4001,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Alex Martinez20c25,056$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.2713943.9%61 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Martinez10c13,712$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.6211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Martinez15c5,158$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.163,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Amit Vales38c2,868$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.032,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Alex Martinez23c2,578$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005250%26 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Amit Vales66c2,178$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.8129735.7%106 W · 191 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Amit Vales62c2,127$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.4559553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alex Martinez22c2,092$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.918,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Martinez57c1,879$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.078,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Alex Martinez5c1,399$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.541,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Amit Vales73c1,203$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.384,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Alex Martinez6c1,190$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7532329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Martinez20c1,138$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.558,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Alex Martinez2c900$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821117.5%37 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a4…5846backed Alex Martinez11c848.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Amit Vales76c782.21$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.482,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Alex Martinez2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109715.5%15 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alex Martinez43c474.81$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.945,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf78b…d1adbacked Alex Martinez9c423.56$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Amit Vales50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20044950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Amit Vales35c374$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.16,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Amit Vales35c357$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.052,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alex Martinez4c324.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.096,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Martinez14c323.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.774,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Amit Vales36c303.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…55f8backed Alex Martinez64c303.42$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.193240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Alex Martinez43c261$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2342747.8%204 W · 223 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Alex Martinez60c213.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2329149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Amit Vales77c213.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alex Martinez30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.371,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3b…86bdbacked Alex Martinez63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+95.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Alex Martinez50c172.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4238141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Alex Martinez30c158.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.613644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Martinez17c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Amit Vales73c134.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.263,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Amit Vales40c132.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6319347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Alex Martinez38c126.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Alex Martinez59c126$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8839346.8%184 W · 209 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Alex Martinez58c122.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6542546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Alex Martinez61c119.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7785741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6e…5848backed Amit Vales76c113.4$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.232860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alex Martinez22c101.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Amit Vales37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Alex Martinez29c97.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3538047.1%179 W · 201 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Alex Martinez28c96.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3725048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Alex Martinez61c93.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8370537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Alex Martinez42c93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0697852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Amit Vales36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Alex Martinez56c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.581,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Alex Martinez58c86.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0222335.4%79 W · 144 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Alex Martinez35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7570729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Amit Vales37c84.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.992,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Alex Martinez45c81.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.445545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Alex Martinez58c70.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.471968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Alex Martinez62c63.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.671,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Amit Vales78c56.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Amit Vales52c54.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3423853.4%127 W · 111 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce5…262abacked Alex Martinez53c43.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Alex Martinez26c43.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e62…716ebacked Alex Martinez47c42.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Alex Martinez50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031447.8%150 W · 164 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Alex Martinez62c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.625150.2%126 W · 125 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Amit Vales59c33.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.731,07956.3%608 W · 471 L+50.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Alex Martinez50c32.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0227449.6%136 W · 138 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Alex Martinez64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Amit Vales37c30.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1250948.1%245 W · 264 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Amit Vales37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.963537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Amit Vales59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Amit Vales51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4118557.3%106 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Amit Vales51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4121951.1%112 W · 107 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Alex Martinez43c27.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.645642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Alex Martinez61c23.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1919540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Alex Martinez53c21.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6115236.2%55 W · 97 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Alex Martinez61c21.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3815651.3%80 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Alex Martinez62c21.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.544365.9%292 W · 151 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Alex Martinez64c20.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Alex Martinez62c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4518664.5%120 W · 66 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Alex Martinez63c18.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Alex Martinez61c17.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8825851.6%133 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked Alex Martinez60c17.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.496154.1%33 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.