Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb78a369d299c8a6c427d09b0caa51fa47a8462e881df0136cbbc95b445a396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof Conviction, NRG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Conviction | 45c | 5,587$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.04 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed NRG Esports | 55c | 2,545$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.04 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Conviction | 48c | 1,200$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Conviction | 42c | 1,143$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.27 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 1,064$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.99 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d2…4186backed NRG Esports | 55c | 999.99$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.6 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Conviction | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Conviction | 45c | 963.53$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.95 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG Esports | 51c | 948.92$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.07 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed NRG Esports | 55c | 868.31$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed NRG Esports | 50c | 833.89$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.04 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed NRG Esports | 55c | 801.3$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Conviction | 51c | 791.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.38 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked NRG Esports | 45c | 789.54$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.25 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Conviction | 2c | 681.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Conviction | 55c | 646.78$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.73 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed NRG Esports | 53c | 569.75$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.78 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 500$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Conviction | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked NRG Esports | 53c | 434.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG Esports | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Conviction | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed NRG Esports | 45c | 291.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…732abacked Conviction | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG Esports | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Conviction | 47c | 239.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Conviction | 47c | 237.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction | 46c | 227.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed NRG Esports | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked NRG Esports | 54c | 215.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Conviction | 54c | 209.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 670 | 57.5%385 W · 285 L | +24.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Conviction | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed NRG Esports | 61c | 179.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked NRG Esports | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Conviction | 49c | 145.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Conviction | 48c | 145.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed NRG Esports | 54c | 143.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Conviction | 48c | 129.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NRG Esports | 56c | 126$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked NRG Esports | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed NRG Esports | 58c | 107.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Conviction | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Conviction | 51c | 68.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Conviction | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked Conviction | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked NRG Esports | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed NRG Esports | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Conviction | 54c | 53.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Conviction | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NRG Esports | 53c | 52.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked NRG Esports | 59c | 51.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed NRG Esports | 54c | 50.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…3905backed Conviction | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Conviction | 54c | 44.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Conviction | 44c | 43.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed NRG Esports | 56c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed NRG Esports | 49c | 40.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Conviction | 59c | 39.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…e042backed Conviction | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Conviction | 50c | 36.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Conviction | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…5474backed Conviction | 49c | 34.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…383bbacked Conviction | 49c | 34.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked Conviction | 47c | 34.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 275 | 40.4%111 W · 164 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3cc3backed Conviction | 47c | 32.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed NRG Esports | 52c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked NRG Esports | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Conviction | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed NRG Esports | 54c | 27.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG Esports | 53c | 27.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…0023backed Conviction | 46c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NRG Esports | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d3…3109backed Conviction | 47c | 22.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed NRG Esports | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs NRG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Conviction (+1.5)NRG Esports won
- LoL: Conviction vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: Conviction vs NRG Esports - Game 1 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.