TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRG Esportsof Conviction, NRG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Conviction41c14,739$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,005.51,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed Conviction45c7,295$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.447936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG Esports54c7,027$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.311,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Conviction2c3,284$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked NRG Esports52c2,176$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.51,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed NRG Esports53c2,152$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.852,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed NRG Esports68c2,043$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.991,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d2…4186backed NRG Esports79c1,900$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3996440.6%26 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Conviction44c1,398$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.414336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed NRG Esports55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58582954.5%452 W · 377 L+3.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Esports61c1,286$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.72,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG Esports52c1,200$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.881,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed NRG Esports54c1,117$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0114930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Conviction43c1,087$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.4110945%49 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Conviction47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9235546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG Esports56c967.18$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.361,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Conviction4c738.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5554824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked NRG Esports74c704.81$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1847453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Conviction29c683.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040340.9%165 W · 238 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Conviction47c660.45$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1321848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Conviction47c599.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28460538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed NRG Esports53c599.78$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8917749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked NRG Esports54c585$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.17841%32 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7004…b7c4backed Conviction35c572.24$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.78160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked NRG Esports46c545.54$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3417342.2%73 W · 100 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked NRG Esports55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4511959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked NRG Esports53c500$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23364849.8%323 W · 325 L-25.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed NRG Esports54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2307851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Conviction48c450$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21496348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Conviction28c446.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.493713.5%5 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…d737backed NRG Esports80c438.63$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.631266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d1…8fe6backed Conviction47c432.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.646749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed NRG Esports52c378.13$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.510155.4%56 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed NRG Esports73c363$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.232542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked NRG Esports55c354.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.556746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NRG Esports52c309.96$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.331,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed NRG Esports64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8344129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed NRG Esports53c298.97$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.525554.5%30 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed NRG Esports80c294$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.821350.2%107 W · 106 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Conviction44c279.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1957151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Conviction48c259.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3665047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed NRG Esports75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.527865.8%183 W · 95 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked NRG Esports53c239$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.332055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Conviction43c235.82$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8319941.7%83 W · 116 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed NRG Esports61c223.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4710551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Conviction45c222.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2256650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed NRG Esports59c221.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.649062.2%56 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed NRG Esports53c220$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.41,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Conviction39c205.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.171,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f3a…4ecebacked Conviction13c199.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed NRG Esports53c197.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.924450%22 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked NRG Esports56c194$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.365448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Conviction78c194$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.54085%34 W · 6 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Conviction29c193.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.682,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed NRG Esports55c179.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8479864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed NRG Esports71c170.89$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.511464.9%74 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8b…c9ccbacked Conviction45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked NRG Esports55c166$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.710165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed NRG Esports53c166$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8639755.4%220 W · 177 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed Conviction24c159.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.367319.2%14 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Conviction47c148.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.211,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed NRG Esports55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4523848.7%116 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction29c140.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.771,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Conviction43c138.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked Conviction46c137.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8827540.4%111 W · 164 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd91…3cc3backed Conviction46c137.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7411436.8%42 W · 72 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Conviction44c137.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1717840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed NRG Esports55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3616762.3%104 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed NRG Esports54c135.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1510253.9%55 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f06…3905backed Conviction23c129.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Conviction46c128.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.041,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0b…ef0cbacked NRG Esports55c119.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418942.3%80 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG Esports64c119.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e97…0bd0backed Conviction23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed NRG Esports53c108$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7145244.5%201 W · 251 L-30.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Conviction44c107.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked NRG Esports53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.351,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked NRG Esports55c101$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4518560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed NRG Esports55c101$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4538358%222 W · 161 L-1.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked NRG Esports55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4563646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked NRG Esports56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked NRG Esports55c97.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5714846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Conviction41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed NRG Esports58c97.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c36…08f5backed Conviction46c95.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4815635.9%56 W · 100 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked NRG Esports63c94.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3514333.6%48 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Conviction34c88.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9830253.6%162 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed NRG Esports62c86.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6921763.6%138 W · 79 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed NRG Esports74c81.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6110363.1%65 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed NRG Esports50c80.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.343036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG Esports76c79.53$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5844…12e2backed Conviction41c78.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed NRG Esports55c76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.226856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed NRG Esports58c73.09$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked NRG Esports54c68.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5284840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed NRG Esports55c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed NRG Esports52c66.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9951247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Conviction17c66.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1715036%54 W · 96 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked NRG Esports57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3810748.6%52 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked NRG Esports54c64.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6813050%65 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.