Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Felix Balshaw vs Alejandro Moro Canas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d5ed3598bda5a7a8ae69e8934dedef1d24dceef09ec886c7fb85e18963d25dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Moro Canasof Felix Balshaw, Alejandro Moro Canas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 4,407$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felix Balshaw | 44c | 3,753$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 66c | 2,824$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.27 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Felix Balshaw | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Felix Balshaw | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Felix Balshaw | 47c | 1,466$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.67 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 79c | 867$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Felix Balshaw | 45c | 846.78$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.05 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 831.31$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.91 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 48c | 787.45$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.19 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Felix Balshaw | 43c | 707.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.17 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Felix Balshaw | 46c | 654.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felix Balshaw | 17c | 596.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felix Balshaw | 25c | 498.47$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Felix Balshaw | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Felix Balshaw | 32c | 434.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Felix Balshaw | 15c | 390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 61c | 378.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Felix Balshaw | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 283.77$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Felix Balshaw | 30c | 257.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Felix Balshaw | 20c | 219.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Felix Balshaw | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Felix Balshaw | 50c | 208.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Felix Balshaw | 44c | 206.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Felix Balshaw | 44c | 180.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Felix Balshaw | 33c | 177.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 78c | 161.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Felix Balshaw | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Felix Balshaw | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Felix Balshaw | 37c | 145.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 138.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Felix Balshaw | 30c | 124.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Felix Balshaw | 34c | 117.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Felix Balshaw | 34c | 113.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 70c | 110.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 108.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Felix Balshaw | 28c | 101.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Felix Balshaw | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Felix Balshaw | 32c | 93.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Felix Balshaw | 26c | 91.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Felix Balshaw | 51c | 87.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 87.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Felix Balshaw | 36c | 84.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Felix Balshaw | 33c | 82.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 68.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 62.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Felix Balshaw | 36c | 59.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Felix Balshaw | 33c | 54.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Felix Balshaw | 45c | 49.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 69c | 42.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 57c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Felix Balshaw | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 80c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 155 | 31.6%49 W · 106 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 19.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 67c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.