Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6daedfbc1384d521a889f030b619d6a37ffc203d5abcf0a9bb7807feab6be114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 31c | 1,139$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 45c | 862.57$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 310.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 28c | 306.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 293.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 45c | 287.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 250.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 18c | 246.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 17c | 241.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 10c | 239.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 33c | 230.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 205.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 194.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 193.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 152.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 37c | 137.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 63c | 137.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 135.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 119.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 78c | 114.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 17c | 110.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 57c | 109.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…6049backed No | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…eb81backed Yes | 41c | 96.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 37c | 95.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 92.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Yes | 55c | 79.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -16.6wins | -0.29per pick | 61cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 27c | 71.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…8b1cbacked Yes | 49c | 61.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed Yes | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 59.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 56.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…b443backed Yes | 37c | 53.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 42c | 51.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 50.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 46.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 42.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 66c | 42.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 59c | 41.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 39.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 53c | 37.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 34c | 36.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 35.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 29c | 35.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 34c | 35.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…902dbacked Yes | 38c | 34.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…bd66backed Yes | 76c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 39c | 32.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…e90bbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 54c | 28.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Yes | 42c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 27.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 65c | 27.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 38c | 26.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 56c | 26.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…9270backed Yes | 57c | 26.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -34.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 57c | 24.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…ff0abacked Yes | 63c | 23.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 69c | 23.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 66c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -14.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…f54abacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…2acbbacked Yes | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…3288backed No | 66c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…6409backed No | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.