CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b56a353da9a56828e912726e573c2aec8f3f6375ac903602c9d6800cc52321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stormboarof Iowa Stormboar, Villainous
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Iowa Stormboar | 65c | 804.61$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 196 | 60.2%118 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Iowa Stormboar | 39c | 708.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.19 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Villainous | 35c | 706$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.95 | 373 | 38.6%144 W · 229 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Villainous | 50c | 301.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Villainous | 38c | 279.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 402 | 45.3%182 W · 220 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Villainous | 60c | 236.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Villainous | 44c | 233.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 922 | 31.2%288 W · 634 L | -63.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Villainous | 61c | 231.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Villainous | 61c | 225.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Iowa Stormboar | 39c | 201.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Villainous | 33c | 182.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Iowa Stormboar | 57c | 158.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Iowa Stormboar | 59c | 149.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Villainous | 61c | 145$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Villainous | 43c | 129.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Iowa Stormboar | 73c | 126.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa Stormboar | 52c | 110.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Iowa Stormboar | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Villainous | 54c | 89.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Iowa Stormboar | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Iowa Stormboar | 71c | 87.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 554 | 69.1%383 W · 171 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Villainous | 24c | 86.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 214 | 52.3%112 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Iowa Stormboar | 73c | 81.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Villainous | 62c | 73.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Iowa Stormboar | 62c | 72.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 850 | 51.8%440 W · 410 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Villainous | 31c | 67.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Iowa Stormboar | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Iowa Stormboar | 62c | 64.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Villainous | 21c | 64.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Iowa Stormboar | 49c | 60.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Iowa Stormboar | 66c | 56.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Villainous | 46c | 50.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Villainous | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…f5bebacked Iowa Stormboar | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Iowa Stormboar | 37c | 48.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Iowa Stormboar | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iowa Stormboar | 60c | 47.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Iowa Stormboar | 57c | 46.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace1…f428backed Villainous | 63c | 44.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Villainous | 44c | 36.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Villainous | 36c | 34.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 33.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Villainous | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…426ebacked Villainous | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Iowa Stormboar | 50c | 29.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Villainous | 43c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 368 | 25.5%94 W · 274 L | -18.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Iowa Stormboar | 45c | 23.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Iowa Stormboar | 52c | 22.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Iowa Stormboar | 68c | 21.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 370 | 41.9%155 W · 215 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Iowa Stormboar | 57c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Villainous | 61c | 16.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed Iowa Stormboar | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous - Map 1 WinnerIowa Stormboar won
- Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous - Map 2 WinnerIowa Stormboar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.