World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ce55ef67148f565a6c9dd2758a7d6f8c901395f06827500f1e2f5738182996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 70c | 657.44$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…9365backed Yes | 52c | 586.12$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 14c | 489.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 471 | 37.6%177 W · 294 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 25c | 425.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 399.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 147 | 17%25 W · 122 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 16c | 310.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 18c | 234.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 68c | 221.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 14c | 210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 203$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 74c | 197.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 19c | 192.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 74c | 184.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…271dbacked Yes | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +176%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 14c | 166.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 77c | 166.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2dd7backed Yes | 25c | 164.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 157.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 78c | 152.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 75c | 145.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d60…d955backed No | 28c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 139.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 24c | 133.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 131.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 233 | 55.8%130 W · 103 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 126.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 15c | 123.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 436 | 49.5%216 W · 220 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 79c | 120.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…d7ebbacked No | 75c | 114$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 112.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 110.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 398 | 13.8%55 W · 343 L | -72.7wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 13c | 103.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 65c | 99.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 77c | 99.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 12c | 95.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 94.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 553 | 51.2%283 W · 270 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 72c | 91.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 91.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 14c | 90.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 71c | 90.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 23c | 90.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 33c | 89.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +14.6wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 33c | 84.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…c3ddbacked No | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 71c | 81.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 19c | 79.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 29c | 79.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 31c | 75.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 75c | 73.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 73.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 19c | 69.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed Yes | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed Yes | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 70cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 51c | 67.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…0f28backed No | 74c | 67.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 71cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 34c | 66.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 66c | 62.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…cae8backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…fd19backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 61.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 57.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6199…ece4backed No | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 74c | 56.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 164 | 55.5%91 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 56.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 341 | 40.2%137 W · 204 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…0985backed No | 77c | 56.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 34c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…98d2backed No | 77c | 51.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 63c | 51.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…8eaabacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 44c | 46.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 67c | 44.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 100 | 73%73 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 34c | 40.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 30c | 40.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…fae7backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…1cbfbacked Yes | 39c | 38.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…b105backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 72c | 34.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 30.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 187 | 34.8%65 W · 122 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…6adebacked Yes | 36c | 30.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 75c | 27.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 63c | 25.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…233fbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…871ebacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 80c | 22.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 71c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.