TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Over42c43,996$18,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,390.729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c9,821$5,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,108.093,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c7,026$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.785,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over42c7,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.934339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9917146.2%79 W · 92 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under58c4,718$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.5642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c4,130$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.228,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under58c4,001$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.6965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under58c3,715$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under58c3,200$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under58c2,400$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00813059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under58c1,400$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58816558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c1,305$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.291,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c1,265$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.891,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under59c1,210$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.041,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50424053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c1,050$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37823056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33619559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under62c748.47$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4711855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under58c720$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under58c672.41$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.413345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25218358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under58c480$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c415.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.441,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16824956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under59c392.62$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.971,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under58c320$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.421358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over41c280$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.815128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under58c280$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.621657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under58c270$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.47748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Under59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c226$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under58c204.1$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7233266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under59c198$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.332,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under58c196$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c168.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under58c167$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under58c122.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6412755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013247.7%63 W · 69 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under58c121.31$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.955862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.418959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under58c89.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6612948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over40c87.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355251.9%27 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over42c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.542544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under59c83.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5511763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.613465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x970e…613ebacked Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under59c71.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.54362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Under58c70.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.652965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Under60c65.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over41c58.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under58c52.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2210564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over33c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2225147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under58c48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1617255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Under58c41.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf076…4079backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c37.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c37.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under58c34.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4838861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Under58c33.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under58c33.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9528665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over37c29.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0910946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under58c28.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.993571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda1…e338backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Under66c21.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.214971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.419460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.47052.9%37 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.411459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.412761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.610862%67 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under61c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0333365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under64c17.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.