Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ad44bebba3afb499f9a685334fe7cff614909a4934175f33604709158370b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 14c | 838.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 37c | 676.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 587.46$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.35 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 59c | 586.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 380.94$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 356.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 6c | 330.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 293.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 46c | 270.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 233.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 11c | 225.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 206$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 191.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 184.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 35c | 170$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 29c | 168.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 34c | 168.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 155.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 62c | 153.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 12c | 150.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 27c | 144.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 64c | 134.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…f2fbbacked No | 13c | 130.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 45c | 118.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 27c | 115$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 44c | 114.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 13c | 113$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 62c | 105.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 62c | 105.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 27c | 78.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 66c | 76.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 74.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 74.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 76c | 71.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 14c | 70.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 29c | 69.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 42c | 67.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 18c | 64.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 68c | 64.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 65c | 61.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 60.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 41c | 56.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 28c | 55.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 77c | 54.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 64c | 52.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 66c | 51.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 59c | 51.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 59c | 50.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…eec6backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Yes | 40c | 48.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b1a8backed No | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 44c | 47.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 32c | 47.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 47.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 65c | 46.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 65c | 45.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 36c | 42.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 70c | 42.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 70c | 42.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 79c | 42.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 37c | 41.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 47c | 39.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 36c | 35.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 41c | 34.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 74c | 33.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 41c | 31.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…8f02backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 75c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7419…594abacked Yes | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed No | 60c | 27.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 26.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 70c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.